The States to Watch on Election Night

[louis c]

The first states to report will be on the East Coast. Virginia closes at 7:00 PM EST. If Barack Obama wins New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia, the ball game is over.

If Obama fails to carry Virginia and Pennsylvania, we're in for a long, tough night. In that case Florida and/or Ohio must come through. If we can't carry Virginia, North Carolina looks like a long shot. And if we fail in Pennsylvania and Virginia, Florida and Ohio seem like a tough bet. We would need to win an upset in Missouri or hold New Hampshire and sweep the Western swing states of Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada and a CD vote in Nebraska.

If, on the other hand, Obama carries Pennsylvania and New Hampshire, but loses Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio and Missouri, we still have a clear path to victory. Barring any other upsets by either side, Obama has to carry Colorado and either New Mexico or Nevada to win.


We are now up by 10 points in Pennsylvania, and that is the key state in every scenario. If we hold there, every possible match-up favors us.


The way it shapes up now, I'd rater be us than them.

[Parche]

1. Virginia, Virginia,,Virginia

I am predicting he will get PA'

But the focus is on Virginia, if he wins that, then he will be President
277 at least at that point
the rest is icing on the cake

[rvablue]

2. ALL EYES ON VIRGINIA!

I live here and I feel that if they are going to be any shenanigans it could be here.

The lines will be VERY long and the polls close so early.

Good think Kaine is Governor though in case voting has to be extended.

[louis c]

3. Pennsylvania and Virginia

Obama wins here, it's lights out.

[lynettebro440]

4. I would really love for the lights to go out early

I don't want a nail biter....

[Wiley50]

5. In what states is the Sec of State also co-chair of the state McCain/Palin campaign?

Remember:

2000 Florida Katharine Harris

2004 Ohio Blackwell

I know this is the case in Wisconson

but how may electoral votes does WI have?

Any others?

[louis c]

6. We're up about 23 points in Wisconsin, so they really have to work overtime...............

to steal that one.