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goforit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 01:54 PM
Original message
"AP poll: Candidates Running Nearly Even"
<http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27324419/>

Paying off the pollsters?
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liberal N proud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 01:55 PM
Response to Original message
1. How in the fuck can you go from a 10 point lead to nothing overnight?
Someone some where is fucking whit the numbers.
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Lex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 01:56 PM
Response to Original message
2. Same DU thread here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=7559509&mesg_id=7559509
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villager Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 01:59 PM
Response to Original message
3. "Likely voters" -- with AP deciding who is "likely" to vote...
n/t
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dana_b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 02:00 PM
Response to Original message
4. I'm going to tear my hair out before the 4th!!
stop reading polls.... stop reading polls....
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endthewar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 02:10 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. OR...you could start understanding polls?
Polls are useless if you don't look at the internals.
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ErinBerin84 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 02:03 PM
Response to Original message
5. heh, look at the poll more closely, it's misleading.
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norepubsin08 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. how so?
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MissMillie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 02:05 PM
Response to Original message
6. that guy at fivethirtyeight.com does some pretty good explanations
about which LV polls are suspect and which aren't, FYI.


(I'm saying this w/o having looked at the actual polls, so I'm not trying to make a point, only to point out that this particular statistician has posted an explanation...)
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