Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

The polls are bullshit! Heres why

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU
 
OffWithTheirHeads Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-27-08 02:28 PM
Original message
The polls are bullshit! Heres why
They only call voters on land lines. Many of the younger voters (who are by and large progressive and have been registering to vote in droves)only use cell phones. Many of us old Hippies have land lines but don't answer them. I have a land line and three cell phones. I figure that if you don't have one of my cell #s I probably don't want to hear from you so I never answer it. I'm not even sure why I have it except to give out that # to people I don't want to talk to like businesses who ask for a #. So, even if a pollster wanted to talk to me, they wouldn't be able to.

Also, many pollsters poll 50% X 50% Pukes and Dems. This does not factor in the massive swing in Dem registrations as opposed to the shrinking puke ones.

More con games by our corporate masters.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
d_b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-27-08 02:30 PM
Response to Original message
1. the polls look pretty good to me
so if the cell/landline issue is a big factor then McCain is extra F'ed.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
ayeshahaqqiqa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-27-08 02:30 PM
Response to Original message
2. It was telephone polls that made pollsters a laughingstock in 1948
They predicted a big win for Dewey because the majority of folks they called were for him. But they forgot the HUGE number of folks who, at the time, didn't have phones. They were the ones who voted for Truman.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
melody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-27-08 02:33 PM
Response to Original message
3. Actually, that's a myth, most do call cell phones
It's just that fewer cell phones are answered. I only have a landline and I'm not even hippie aged. No habla cell phones.

You're right about some of the polls oversampling the GOP, though.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Davis_X_Machina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-27-08 02:53 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. The majors are starting to...
...correct for cell-phone bias.

Pew has an article here.

The short version -- about +2, maybe a little less, for Obama.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Tue Apr 30th 2024, 04:29 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC