New "95 L" bears watching too.

[Lex]

Another tropical wave (95L) near 19N 55W, a few hundred miles east-northeast of Puerto Rico, remains disorganized. However, this disturbance has the potential to be trouble for Bermuda or the U.S. East Coast, and needs to be monitored. Visible satellite loops show only a small amount of heavy thunderstorm activity, but there is some evidence of rotation in the clouds. This morning's QuickSCAT pass missed 95L, but last night's pass showed a wind shift (no surface circulation). Wind shear is a marginal 15-20 knots over 95L, but is forecast to decrease to zero by Thursday and remain below 15 knots for most of the remainder of the week. NHC is giving 95L a medium (20%-50% chance) of developing into a tropical depression by Thursday. All of the models develop 95L, with most of them foreseeing northwest track and a threat to Bermuda 5-7 days from now. However, the ECMWF model takes 95L westward into Florida 7-8 days from now.

Link

[NeedleCast]

1. I'm betting at least some level of recurve on this one

BAMM model has been pretty good so far this season. These storms that are staying out of tropical waters shouldn't intensify nearly as much or as rapidly as the Gustav's of the world.

[Lex]

2. Recurve would be great.

Hope it remains just a "fish storm" and stays away from land.

[alfredo]

3. Hoping for a fish storm