43% of terrorist groups no longer exist, ended as result of political processes NOT due to military

[seemslikeadream]

http://www.americanchronicle.com/articles/70906



According to the study; "43% of all terrorist groups that no longer exist, were ended as the result of political processes, NOT due to military action, war or violence of any sort".

RAND's report went on to to state that, "The US will continue to fail as long as US leaders fail to understand how terrorist groups can end". The study's lead author, Mr Seth Jones, put it this way: "In most cases, military force isn't the best instrument. I would go further in every instance. FBI stats will support that the US use of the military has simply made terrorism worse, primarily because it plays into the terrorist's hands." Seth went on to say; "The United States cannot conduct an effective long-term counter terrorism campaign against al Qaeda or other terrorist groups without understanding how a terrorist groups can finally cease their activities." Seth Jones is currently a Senior Political Scientist at RAND

Among the other findings, the study notes:

>>> Religious terrorist groups take longer to eliminate than other groups. Since 1968, approximately 62% of all terrorist groups have ended, while only 32% of religious terrorist groups have done so.

>>> No religious terrorist group has achieved victory since 1968.

>>> Size is an important predictor of a groups' fate. Large groups of more than 10,000 members have been victorious more than 25 percent of the time, while victory is rare when groups are smaller than 1,000 members.


>>> There is no statistical correlation between the duration of a terrorist group and ideological motivation, economic conditions, regime type or the breadth of terrorist goals.

>>> Terrorist groups that become involved in an insurgency do not end easily. Nearly 50% of the time they end with a negotiated settlement with the government, 25% of the time they achieved victory and only 19% of the time, have