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Do the national polls take increased DEM registration into account? Any DU'ers know

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OregonBlue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 12:18 PM
Original message
Do the national polls take increased DEM registration into account? Any DU'ers know
where I can get information on the methodology and how up to date these polling organizations are in regards to current voter registrations?
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flor de jasmim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 12:27 PM
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1. Reputable pollsters SHOULD tell you up front their sampling technique(s).
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EmperorHasNoClothes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 12:33 PM
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2. It depends on the pollster
I believe many of them take past voting history into account when determining who a "likely voter" is - i.e. if you didn't vote in the last election, you're not a "likely voter".
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OregonBlue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 12:39 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I've been looking at their sites, gallup et c. and can't find their methodology. There have been
huge increases in DEM registration but are they still using the old figures? Still polling same number of Dems and Repukes based on past voting trends?
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