If Iraq takes a real bad turn in Baghdad and even the southern

[jimshoes]

areas where there seems to be much fighting the last few days, what is the probability that neocon central will distract the people here with a phonied up attack involving Iran or just a pre-emptive attack on some "intel related" future Iranian weapons program?

[wtmusic]

1. IMO Iran is off the table for now

There is a real possibility of the Green Zone getting overrun. If they can't stabilize Iraq and do it soon, disaster will follow (at this point, there may not be much we can do).

[kentuck]

2. This is about who controls the flow of the oil.

Most of it flows thru Basra. If you control Basra, you control the oil market.

[bdamomma]

3. Cheney will have a fit on this bit of information

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x3066873

[bdamomma]

4. exactly.