http://www.swamppolitics.com/news/politics/blog/2008/03/democratic_ranks_gain_over_gop.htmlDemocratic ranks gain over GOP ranks in 2008
by Mark Silva
Democrats are heading into November’s election with stronger “party identification” among voters than during either of the last two presidential election cycles, a new poll shows.
More than one third of those surveyed – 36 percent – identified themselves as Democrats, and just 27 percent identified themselves as Republicans in Pew Research Center surveys taken during the first two months of this year – with 5,566 people interviewed.
The Republican Party’s share of self-identified partisans has shrunk by six points since 2004 and represents the lowest level of people calling themselves Republicans in 16 years of polling by Pew.
The level of support for the Democratic Party has remained relatively stable: 36 percent in the latest surveys 35 percent called themselves Democrats in 2004 and 35 percent in 2000.
At the same time, the percentages calling themselves independents have increased: From 32 percent in 2004 to 37 percent now.
In the so-called “blue states,’’ those where Democratic nominee John Kerry won by at least five percentage points in 2004 -- the Democratic Party's advantage over Republican voters has nearly doubled from 10 points to 18 points, the surveys show.
The balance in “red states,’’ those where President Bush won by more than five points in 2004 -- has remained more stable. Throughout the last three election cycles, there have been roughly as many Democrats as Republicans in these 24 states collectively. Now, 33 percent of voters in these states call themselves Republicans, 33 percent call themselves Democrats and 34 percent sided with neither party.
For more, see Pew's poll report.