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Edited on Thu Jan-31-08 10:55 AM by PATRICK
en masse are not going to hear Obama's message more than they know already about the safety and security of the good old days. The emotional weight behnd the choice very likely rests there as an incumbency of loyalty. To this is added the considerable women's base which has been expecting and accepting a Hillary run for many more years.
Obama is giving it an historical shot but I think he is up against too much than can be combatted by what people hear from a few speeches, ads or endorsement. He was catapulted by so many hearing his convention speech in 2004 which was repeated and reprinted everywhere. He is trying to move a mountain and not merely win a rookie of the year, better luck next time youngster, second prize.
This is very very very hard. He is trying a brilliant mix of caution and boldness and strategy soaring on his natural skills. I think we have to remember that after you remove the blame for this or that if it doesn't succeed, nothing matters so simply as the very embedded support of Hillary Clinton which includes all the establishment support as well- all tied to Bill's presidency. I hope there really is no bitterness. Edwards did not just get ground to inconsequence in a media circus between the other two. Neither he no Obama could easily sway the primary electorate away from this rooted advantage. I should think they would need massive media favorable bias to even dent it and although the media was wrecking things they were constantly giving an assist by trashing Hillary to keep the game going.
I thought just maybe two defeats just might awaken a glimmer of something new. Yet they are as undiscussed and unfaced as 9/11 especially by the party politicans themselves. Now they can reap their own fear which I am positive still avoids the newfangled e-voting machinery as a sideshow to their centrist electoral problems. All that needed to be done, as with Gore in 2000, was the simple decision of a good candidate to follow this bedrock destiny without looking too hard at the price WE have to pay in the fall. I cannot fault Hillary for doing what so many fine Dems have done before her. Destiny. Is it even a choice like we pretend it to be or a trap of our fixed beliefs ignoring reality?
If Obama and any politics and speechifying can change that more power to him. In fact it would be awakeningly miraculous. I will grant that maybe a deeper change will win at this particular stand. If not we get to drag this inertial weight again in November- or into the WH. It would be in the interests of all progressives to get people moving no matter what choice they make.
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