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Why are exit polls today so much more reliable than in 2004 GE election?

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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:52 PM
Original message
Why are exit polls today so much more reliable than in 2004 GE election?
We heard over and over how exit polls are unreliable - all those Kerry voters lied or beamed out in space. Now however, they are reliable enough to project a primary BEFORE any vote is counted?
(and no, it's not about primary, but about the hypocrisy on the exit polls)
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:53 PM
Response to Original message
1. CNN has not posted their exit poll yet
Edited on Sat Jan-26-08 07:54 PM by sunonmars
they are a bit late this time. still adjusting it, i bet.

CNN saying Obama 4 delegates so far and Clinton 3

What if Hillary takes the most delegates, lol.
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:55 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. They all projected the winner at 7 PM! That was my point.
Edited on Sat Jan-26-08 07:59 PM by robbedvoter
Right as the polls closed.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:53 PM
Response to Original message
2. Not to defend the 2004 fraud, but they apparently show a 30% lead for Obama....
big difference than a <5% as in 2004 election.
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:57 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. I remember big differences during the day in exit polls in 2004
Kerry was leading decisively in every category I am sure it really was more than 5%
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:00 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. I am not aware of anything greater than 5%. Links if you've got 'em.... and certainly nothing
in the 30% range.
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Jane Austin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:54 PM
Response to Original message
3. Because this Democratic primary was run by Democrats. n/t
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applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:00 PM
Response to Original message
6. Because the Republicans were "reluctant responders" who skewed
the exit polls in favor of Kerry by mid day..thus reving up the GOP base to vote, all the while making the dem voters more passive.

IMHO
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:01 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. This was the spin. I don't buy it.
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applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:11 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Don't listen to me. Watch the MSM organizations. They will not go
near exit polls that involve the GOP. They didn't touch exit polls during the 2006 elections. They believe it.
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stillcool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:01 PM
Response to Original message
8. I would think...
that with all we have learned over the last 7 years that all voters would demand an audit after every election. I recall reading that the 'exit polls' were altered to reflect the vote in 2004.

H.R. 5036: Emergency Election Assistance for Secure Elections Act – the “EASY” bill to secure the November 2008 elections
http://holt.house.gov/HR_5036.shtml
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