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and-justice-for-all Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-22-08 03:20 AM
Original message
Don't let chicken little pick the Democratic Cadidate.
-- I saw this and that it was fitting for DU.

I had a surprising conversation with my 18 year old niece the other day. She stated that she would vote for Clinton "because she's a girl and it's time to have a girl President." As a female, I too, would like to see the day when we have a woman President, but I want her to be the candidate who has the right qualities and policies for the time. For me, that's not Clinton. With a world in crisis, does it make sense to vote for someone just because you feel a kinship with them? The media would like it to be that simple. The media wants a simplistic two person race to hype on their news teasers or make jokes about on late night shows. This election is far too important to be manipulated by the Chicken Little pundits who seem to decide their news coverage everytime an acorn drops.

While the sky is not falling, our country and the world face issues of poverty, war, nuclear proliferation, catastrophic environmental crisis, civic liberty restriction, health care debacles, etc. We, as voters, have a solemn duty to keep all that in mind when we vote. The future of the entire human race and all the species of this planet may well be determined by this election. So, think carefully before you vote.

With 46 caucuses/primaries to go, the Democratic race is still viable for three candidates...yes 3, not just 2. All 3 candidates have things in their voting records that are negatives and positives. So here are some other things to consider.
First, consider who can win in November. This all becomes academic if we lose in November and are stuck with trickle down Republicans who might give the rest of us a few crumbs from the wealthy's pie. Here is a synopsis of the latest Rasmussen Poll:
Edwards ties Giuliani and beats all other Republicans by significant margins.
Clinton beats Thompson by 2 points, but Clinton loses to all other Republicans.
Obama loses to McCain, but beats all other Republicans
Thus, Edwards is the ONLY Democratic candidate to NOT LOSE to any of the Republicans.
Note: The ideology of the participants is predominantly Moderate or Liberal with much smaller
ratio of Conservatives. So, consider what it will look like in November the Dem candidates that are already losing in the poll] once the Republican machine fires up the
conservatives.

More: http://blog.johnedwards.com/story/2008/1/21/3278/63990
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-22-08 03:32 AM
Response to Original message
1. If Those Polls Are Correct, The Sky Really Is Falling
Edited on Tue Jan-22-08 03:32 AM by AndyTiedye
and will come crashing down on us in November, much worse than it did in 2004.

K/R

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Hutzpa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-22-08 03:41 AM
Response to Original message
2. Tha was in December, the polls
have changed and its all Obama, you need to do a research online.

You will get the latest updates.
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MADem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-22-08 03:55 AM
Response to Original message
3. The Republican Rassmussen polls are biased, they are agenda driven.
This is not news, either. They craft the questions to achieve the results they want. Fair warning. Example:

http://mydd.com/story/2006/3/17/11424/8443

Rasmussen had Obama beating Clinton by double digits in NH, too. http://www.unionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Rasmussen+poll%3A+Obama+soars+to+a+10-point+lead&articleId=e81b58c5-ec9a-415e-9b46-89d5bbf36eb2

Here's another "beaut" where Rasmussen didn't do OUR PARTY any favors: http://mediamatters.org/items/200705160001

LARGE grain of salt is in order....
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Perry Logan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-22-08 06:43 AM
Response to Original message
4. Take a good look at the Republicans today. You can tell they know they're screwed.
Edited on Tue Jan-22-08 06:43 AM by Perry Logan
Surveys Show House Dems Maintain "Nearly Landslide Leads" Heading Into '08 Elections

Despite growing disapproval of Congress, Democratic House candidates -- both incumbents and challengers -- are steadily gaining ground for a 2008 election likely to be a repeat of 2006, according to two surveys (here and here) by Democracy Corps.

The surveys dispute the hardening conventional wisdom that the failure of Democrats to force the start of withdrawal from Iraq has turned voters against both parties. The notion that the public sees Democrats and Republicans as "equal offenders...completely misreads the current moment," according to Democracy Corps.

Instead, the authors of an accompanying memo -- Stan Greenberg, James Carville and Ana Iparraguirre -- contend that "Democrats are maintaining stable and nearly landslide leads in both the race for President as measured by generic performance (51-41) and the named ballot for Congress (52-42 percent)."
In a targeted survey of the 70 congressional districts most likely to be competitive in 2008 (half with Democratic incumbents, the other half with Republicans in office), Democracy Corps found that Democratic incumbents hold a solid 52-40 lead on average. In contrast, the Republicans are in trouble: when voters are asked whom they would choose between the named GOP incumbent and an unnamed (generic) Democrat, the Republicans are behind on average 44-49.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2007/07/31/surveys-show-house-dems-m_n_58592.html

http://www.democracycorps.com/reports/analyses/Democracy_Corps_July_31_2007_Memo.pdf
http://www.democracycorps.com/reports/surveys/Democracy_Corps_July_25-29_2007_Battleground_Survey.pdf

Republican Outlook Dims for '08
The race for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination has become wide open, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll shows. But the value of winning it has fallen sharply.

The survey shows that without formally entering the race, former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson has risen to second place in the Republican field. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani continues to leak support, but leads the pack with 29% to Mr. Thompson's 20%, while former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has pulled even with Sen. John McCain at 14%.

Of greater concern for Republicans generally, however, is the party's weak state heading into the 2008 election. By 52% to 31%, Americans say they want Democrats to win the presidency next year.
http://online.wsj.com/article_email/SB118177312675434460-lMyQjAxMDE3ODExNDcxNzQzWj.html
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