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IF HRC finishes 3rd in N.H., Nev, and S.C., Is She Done??

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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 02:28 AM
Original message
IF HRC finishes 3rd in N.H., Nev, and S.C., Is She Done??
Obviously she needs to 'breakthrough' in one of the next 3 races.

And if so, where would her supporters go? Edwards or Obama?
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SeattleGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 02:29 AM
Response to Original message
1. Not per the MSM, who is steadfastly ignoring Edwards.
:grr:

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David Dunham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 02:31 AM
Response to Original message
2. She will finish at least 1 or 2 in all those states. JE will be third.
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ingac70 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 03:24 AM
Response to Reply #2
7. IN SC? Fat chance. n/t.
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MrSlayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 02:48 AM
Response to Original message
3. If she finishes third in all three states she'll be on the ropes.
But she is counting on the big states on super duper tuesday. Winning several of those states can resurrect her.
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killbotfactory Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 02:50 AM
Response to Original message
4. She has a lot of money
Edited on Sat Jan-05-08 02:50 AM by killbotfactory
She'll last until super Tuesday.
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Indi Guy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 02:58 AM
Response to Original message
5. She's not "done" until the MSM say's she is...
...and they say that she can come in second in NH, and still be viable.
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OHdem10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 03:07 AM
Response to Original message
6. HRC has the most staying power of all candidates.
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silverojo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 04:15 AM
Response to Reply #6
8. Yeah, right.
That's why she couldn't even finish in the top 2 in Iowa, where she outspent Edwards by a country mile.
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Redbear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 05:00 AM
Response to Original message
9. I think she will stay in a long time.
I support John Edwards, but I think Sen. Clinton is still the most likely nominee. She remains the establishment candidate.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 05:02 AM
Response to Original message
10. Why? Is she out of money?
NH, Nevada, and South Carolina do NOT speak for ME. Are you saying I should not have a chance to vote for my candidate? HOW DARE YOU.
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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 10:48 AM
Response to Reply #10
12. Hmmm... I did not hear anyone say that on this thread. Did you dream it up?
I don't get the logic of your conclusion -- that someone is "saying I should not have a chance to vote for my candidate?"

As far as I can tell you may vote for any candidate you prefer.

Your 'HOW DARE YOU' is a bit dramatic and uncalled for since no one has made such an allegation.
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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 10:28 AM
Response to Original message
11. The OP sets up the premise of 3rd place finishes happening, it doesn't ask IF she will finish 3rd...
Hillary is sitting on a wad of cash, no doubt about it.

But this thread is about a stated set of results, and what you think that would mean for the viability of her campaign.

Just wanted to clear that up since the responses seem to be whether she will finish 3rd or not in those races.
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upi402 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 10:49 AM
Response to Original message
13. She had the $$$ and the machine and failed to win.... even women
didn't back her. She's toast. Especially if she goes negative.
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robcon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 10:51 AM
Response to Original message
14. She'd be almost done.
I depends on the bigs states like CA and NY, and she'd be almost dependent on an open convention to win.
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salin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 10:54 AM
Response to Original message
15. Yes she needs a win
Edited on Sat Jan-05-08 10:56 AM by salin
and unless the polls have changed dramatically, she had such a big lead in NH that even with a big momentum increase for Obama (and/or Edwards) should not be able to fully erase her 20+% lead.

But if she were to leave the race, I have no idea where her supporters would go. There is a bit of animisty (sp) building up.

On Edit: Adding - I just saw the latest Zogby polls - and I have over stated the lead she has in NH- could be far more up in the air than my first sentence suggests.
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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 11:04 AM
Response to Reply #15
17. 'Big Leads' in Polls Make 'Big Falls' Possible in Elections....
Any political strategist will tell you that if they had a choice, they would rather be backing a candidate cresting a few percentage points behind the leader in an election if that leader has experienced a big fall in their lead in the weeks and days before the election.

A candidate trending up and just behind the leader a few days before the election is a strong candidate, and the loss of a big lead means there will likely be fewer voters added to the candidate's column on election day.
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Tierra_y_Libertad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 11:02 AM
Response to Original message
16. Hopefully.
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CorpGovActivist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 01:02 PM
Response to Original message
18. Good Questions...
... as always.

: )

- Dave
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