The smart money — not to mention the latest polls — gives an edge to Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee in tonight’s Iowa caucuses.
But take a couple hundred thousand Midwesterners, pack them into gyms and libraries and town halls on a frigid Iowa night, add a heaping measure of peer pressure to the equation, and, well, anything can happen.
Here are five unlikely results you that shouldn’t be shocked to see when the final precinct tallies come in:
1) John Edwards Wins Going Away
No one in presidential campaign history has ever worked a state like John Edwards has worked Iowa. No one. But for a brief hiatus for the 2004 general election, Edwards has been campaigning there non-stop since early 2003. He’s answered more questions from more voters at more diners and summer cookouts — in every last corner of the state — than Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama combined.
(Hillary Clinton recently tried to barnstorm some of the state’s far-flung counties by helicopter. Edwards, by contrast, has worked the backroads — having personally visited each of the state’s 99 counties — not once but twice!)
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http://www.rollingstone.com/nationalaffairs/index.php/2008/01/03/the-iowa-caucuses-five-not-so-unlikely-surprises/