http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/10/07/AR2007100701112.htmlEvidence, however, has recently emerged to suggest there may be basic differences in how Republican and Democratic voters perceive waffling, and that voters may view inconsistency differently among Republican and Democratic politicians.
In one experiment conducted in Obama's home state by psychologists Cynthia Nordstrom and Susan Thomas of Southern Illinois University in Edwardsville, volunteers were painted a picture of an inconsistent politician.
The psychologists found that while waffling among all candidates was frowned upon, voters were more likely to punish Democrats who waffled. "Moreover," they noted in an article they published this year in the North American Journal of Psychology, "the Democratic candidate was perceived to be more of a waffler and was less likely to be voted for than the Republican candidate."
The rest of the article is kind of worthless, but this study I found very interesting indeed. The author doesn't make the leap that editorial and general news coverage of Democratic waffling is far more critical and receives far more exposure. Bush's constant goalpost-moving on Iraq, not to mention his many justifications for the invasion in the first place, never got any critical traction in the media (except on the flippin' Daily Show). On the flip side, for example, front page stories, however, ran with Bush's interpretation of Kerry's debate comment about passing the "global test" as meaning UN control of American foreign policy. When Kerry said that wasn't what he meant, it was viewed as another waffling, despite the fact that the accusation was totally bogus.
His preface to the "try to do it right, do it so others go along with you" was: "No President, through all of American history, has ever ceded, and nor would I, the right to preempt in any way necessary to protect the United States of America." Thus the interpretation he had to defend himself against was wholly contrary to the facts, and totally distorted the meaning of "global test" by using a soundbite in misleading isolation. It's so easy to generate a media script. When Democrats compromise or change their minds, they're weak and submissive. Always. When the Republicans are forced to back down on stem cells, Social Security, etc., the media coverage maintains this sort of PR "strong leader" image, despite very similar behavior.
We didn't fall into that trap, but it reminds me of a question I've had in my mind after reading some posts here about protest votes in '08--are we more likely to punish Democrats at the ballot box for being enablers than we are to punish Republicans for being war mongers? Note in our crappy two party system, there's no such thing as punishing both. Or is it unfair to see it that way?