The tropics are on steriods...or maybe warm water, not sure.

[RL3AO]

Another PSA for those in hurricane prone areas that the season is far from done and with the developing La Nina in the Pacific it could cause an above average October and November. There are three areas of interest in the Atlantic and they all could be depressions by tomorrow...if not sooner.

Areas to watch:



Valuable links:
National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook- http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOAT+shtml/241509.shtml
Satellite Services Division Atlantic satellites- http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html

[annabanana]

1. REALLY don't like the looks of that one on the far right...

It is alarmingly well formed for so far out...

[RL3AO]

3. It is a tad misleading.

It isn't a depression yet just a very large wave. It doesn't have a whole lot of deep convection.

[annabanana]

5. Whew. . (I guess)

People who live on barrier beach islands in the Atlantic are a little, um, high strung, on these issues..

[porphyrian]

7. It's not so much the size, but the rotation and development of a distinct eye.

If you're on an island, you'll have at least a couple of days' warning. Be ready to evacuate if you have to, but don't worry too much yet.

[RL3AO]

9. Rotation has been a problem with the big wave.

It is so close to the equator (7 or 8 degrees north) that it is struggling to feel the effects of the Coriolis effect which helps the low to "spin" if you will.

[bullimiami]

4. thats a big one alright. 2 tropical waves and a little mess in the gulf isnt so odd.

its just been pretty quiet up until now.

[slackmaster]

2. The tropics active in late September?

I am shocked, SHOCKED!

[porphyrian]

8. Warm(er) water keeps 'em coming. - n/t

[RL3AO]

10. Actually the water isn't that much above normal.

Most of the Atlantic is within 1/2 degree of normal. Plus that shows the developing La Nina (natural cooling of the Pacific).

[RL3AO]

6. And if you are wondering the next three names are...

Karen, Lorenzo, and Melissa and they all might be used in the next 24-48 hours.

[porphyrian]

11. Two of the most popular girl's names from my generation.

I hope they're not like the ones I know.

[RL3AO]

12. Tropical Depression Twelve has formed in the Central Atlantic.

First advisory from the NHC at 11 pm ET.

[RL3AO]

13. Hopefully this track is correct.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT12/refresh/AL1207W5_sm2+gif/023032W_sm.gif

[slackmaster]

14. Maybe Bermuda will take it in the shorts

Triangle. Onion.