New Iowa Poll Shows John Edwards Leading by 8 Points over Clinton, 12 over Obama

[jsamuel]

http://www.one.org/polls/documents/ia/august/ONE_Poll_Iowa_Democrats_August_2007_memo.pdf

The Presidential Race

John Edwards leads the way among Iowa caucus-goers right now with 30% of the vote among Democrats. Clinton and Obama stand at 22% and 18% respectively, followed by Richardson at 13%.

PRESIDENTIAL TRIAL HEAT (including leaners) %

John Edwards 30
Hillary Clinton 22
Barack Obama 18
Bill Richardson 13
Joe Biden 5
Dennis Kucinich 1
Chris Dodd 0
Mike Gravel 0
Undecided 11

[jackbourassa]

1. Wow Obama's only 4 points behind Clinton

She may fall into third place.

If she finishes third in the primary, behind Obama and Edwards, what will happen to her campaign then?

[jsamuel]

2. and Richardson is only 5 points behind Obama

Clinton could possibly go 4th if she isn't careful.

[trayted]

4. I hope Democrats eventually come to realize that too many Democratic voters, not activists,

but voters, are too insanely irrate about "illegal immigration" to nominate Bill Richardson, and his support stalls.

The worst thing that could happen for 2008 is nominating Bill Richardson, and having to continuously fend off charges all election that he has "secret deals" with Mexico. If the 2008 election is allowed to be made all about illegal immigration, which nominating Bill Richardson does, he'd lose like Mondale, and the Democrats would lose so many seats in Congress that the GOP would have a veto proof majority to go along with a GOP President.

[dsc]

5. wow could you have posted a more biggoted piece of crap?

simply evil. Incidently Obama is also the child of Immigrants.

[trayted]

8. Here we go again. What does what I posted have to do with me? Can you post objective analysis?

Would the scenario that I described play out that way, since I was posting the most likely "scenario" of a Richardson nomination? Would the GOP not use illegal immigration 100% of the time against Bill Richardson?

What in the world does discussing GOP tactics against Richardson, and talking about all of the Democrats who call in to C-Span saying they might vote GOP because of illegal immigration have to do with "me"?

I have noticed a trend here. Anyone who doesn't want to have a discussion about the "meat" of an issue automatically unleashes charges of bigotry. Oh well. Maybe you would rather be a lazy thinker and lose again.

[frazzled]

3. This is a client-based (not public) polling firm

So, now, what client commissioned the poll? And what client released it? The answer to that would be of some interest.

Peter D. Hart Research Associates is strategic research, not just polling or market research. Our clients turn to us - and return to us - because our work is both highly creative and designed to uncover the information that leads to sound decision-making, whether it's a campaign, a communications plan, or a corporate logo.

http://www.hartresearch.com/,

[WI_DEM]

6. This is why I don't count Edwards out

If he wins Iowa he gets a lot of publicity, like Kerry got, and it could be a steam roller effect going into NH and SC (which he won in '04).

[CANDO]

7. Why do I keep seeing polls saying Hillary is leading?

Is She leading in national polls, but not in particular state ones?