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Edited on Mon Aug-13-07 12:57 PM by kenny blankenship
(So often that one suspects that it is being deliberately ignored.)
Thank you for bringing it up.
The lottery system closed many of the loopholes that allowed middle class kids an easy out from the draft. Medical deferments could still be pursued and the rich still had an advantage in pursuing them. The very rich could shop for a doctor who would diagnose them out of contention (maybe, the Army doctor might disagree with a blatantly unfounded diagnosis). But the rich ALWAYS will have these kinds of advantages no matter what system is used to fill out the ranks. The rich do not serve now at all, unless they choose to because, like a young relative of mine, they think that a war would be fun. And usually when they choose to it is of course in a leadership position (Westpoint route) which virtually ensures that they won't be shot at like common grunts.
The lottery (begun Dec. 1969) ended the automatic deferment for college attendance, thus precipitating the children of the middle class into the war. These were kids with time on their hands and money to travel. Within 6 months, Washington D.C. began to see the large antiwar demonstrations on a whole new scale. These would be the largest demonstrations in US history until the Bush era. News reports speak of the government districts of city being "shut down" by protest. The lottery got people's attention for damn sure - the attention of people with political representation in the system - even though Nixon's troop draw downs were supposed to bring about the quiet continuation of the war in a "Vietnam-ized" "wind-down" phase. No accident that in about 3 years of the lottery's inception, the US ground force participation in the war, and the draft itself, were to become history.
Now, although I know the lottery draft moved the country decisively against continuation of the Vietnam war, that doesn't mean that I'm totally sold on the idea of the draft ending this one. Yes, if a draft were announced and it were just like the 69-73 lottery, the Iraq war (US ground forces occupation) would come to an explosive end. Absolutely. But the Generals and warpigs who got us into this mess and who keep us there aren't so stupid that they would make the same mistake again. They know this history even better than we do. If there was a draft, they would try to avoid one that hits classes of people with a voice in our political system. (Granted, more and more strata are finding themselves without effective representation) They have spoken in previous years of a "skills draft". Maybe now, with the Surge on and grinding our troops down, and with all reserves having been thrown into the grinder, a selective skills draft would not come close enough to fulfilling their need for mass manpower. But maybe "lack of skills" could be used as a "qualification" to fill out the ranks. Those with the smallest prospects in civilian life could be preyed on by the Selective Service under a rubric of a "skills draft" - if the language were twisted in just the right way. The randomness (and assumed fairness) of the lottery were what ignited public opinion against the Vietnam war. A generation later, the selectiveness, the non-randomness of the proposed skills draft didn't seem to stir much resentment when the idea was being floated in the media. Most people assumed that oh, this doesn't mean me. They want techies.If the Pentagon and the War Party can define skills down to standards like "can fog a mirror", and "gets Presidential gym class awards for fitness" maybe they can have their so-called skills draft, keep 100,000 new GIs at all times in the pipeline (conscripted selectively from lower socio-economic brackets), and the people who can buy political representation won't complain.
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