Weird coincidence

[sanskritwarrior]

Saddam is executed on December 30th 2006. Violence remains the same against US forces for 48 hours after (December 30 and 31) then drops dramatically.

http://icasualties.org/oif/prdDetails.aspx?hndRef=1-2007

I'm sure its just a statistical blip but weird........

[Richard Steele]

1. So how do ya figure?

[sanskritwarrior]

3. In Iraq

a week span where 2 americans die is unheard of. The violence level there is far higher. I'm not saying it is the start of a change, that aint gonna happen, just saying it is strange, we execute hussein and for one week violence against US forces drops......

[uppityperson]

6. You missed these six, if you are counting from when Saddam hanged.

31-Dec-2006 3 | US: 3 | UK: 0 | Other: 0
US Private 1st Class Alan R. Blohm Baghdad (South of) Hostile - hostile fire - IED attack
US Corporal Jonathan E. Schiller Ba'qubah - Diyala Hostile - hostile fire - IED attack
US Specialist Richard A. Smith Ba'qubah - Diyala Hostile - hostile fire - IED attack
30-Dec-2006 3 | US: 3 | UK: 0 | Other: 0
US NAME NOT RELEASED YET Baghdad (southern part) Hostile - hostile fire - IED attack
US Sergeant John M. Sullivan Baghdad (southwest part) Hostile - hostile fire - IED attack
US Private David E. Dietrich

http://icasualties.org/oif/prdDetails.aspx?hndRef=12-2006
12/30-today official count is 8.

[sanskritwarrior]

13. Actually no

I didn't I said violence remained the same for 48 hours after his execution. 3 dead per day is roughly the average.

[uppityperson]

16. In your post #3 which I am replying to you wrote:...

"In Iraq a week span where 2 americans die is unheard of." I did misread the OP about US and corrected elsewhere, but this response of these 6 makes the total for the week 8. 12/30-1/4 is 6 days, and less than a week.

OK, none officially killed last 2 days, so one could say only 8 in a week which is below the total average. I'd call it a blip, wait and see since on some days none die, some days many.

[sanskritwarrior]

17. Today is the 7th in Iraq

well just about the 7th. I started on the 1st.......ergo a week.

[uppityperson]

20. That is true.

Would be nice if it continued.

[uppityperson]

2. Depends on your definition of "violence" dropping dramatically. Look at these...

Look at the articles on the right side of http://icasualties.org

http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=L06742262&WTmodLoc=World-R5-Alertnet-5
Reuters: Clashes in Baghdad after 27 bodies found

http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200701/s1822529.htm
AFP: Cameraman found dead in Iraq

http://www.kuna.net.kw/Home/Story.aspx?Language=en&DSNO=939911
Twenty seven corpses found in west Baghdad

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L06737085.htm
British soldier wounded in Basra

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L06737085.htm
Policeman and former Baathist shot dead in Diwaniya

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L06737085.htm
Man found dead, shot in the head, in Iskandariya

http://www.bakutoday.net/view.php?d=31769
Two interpreters of kidnapped American found murdered

Iraqi Security Forces and Civilian Deaths jan 2007 235

US wounded Dec/Jan isn't out yet.

[sanskritwarrior]

4. My point

was that we are perceived to have executed Saddam, the US. The US military is not being attacked as much. I said nothing about the Iraqis and the sectarian violence. Sorry I brought it up.

[uppityperson]

9. You missed the six in Dec after Saddam hanged.

edit after rereading OP. I misread, was wrong. You did say US, but missed these six anyways. Patience.

[sanskritwarrior]

14. See post 13

n/t

[MADem]

10. Thanks to that cellphone footage, everyone knows better--everyone.

It wasn't US soldiers bellowing Muqtada, Muqtada, Muqtada while they placed the noose around SH's neck. The Shi'as are overjoyed that their team did the deed, and the Sunnis are bullshit and hellbent for revenge against them.

[Pharaoh]

11. Well these guys have alot more patience

then us, Things are deteriorating rapidly over there, I think bush wants the troop surge just to hold bagdad.

[MADem]

5. Well, they killed SH right before Sunni Eid which was followed by Shi'a Eid

That could have influenced the downspike by taking a few diehards off the street. After all, you have to go see the family and do a little celebrating...

[Esra Star]

7. Bingo

[sanskritwarrior]

8. Ok

now that actually makes sense, it is a holiday.

[MADem]

12. And it is a Holy Day, sort of like when Christmas used to have a religious component

It celebrates the end of Ramadan, it focuses on things like counting blessings, charitable works, gifts to family, kindnesses to strangers...that kind of thing. It's a real "peace, love, understanding" kind of holiday. There are variances in the style of celebrations throughout the muslim world, but the essence of the holiday is pretty much the same.

[Mika]

15. Finally! We've turned the corner.

:eyes:

[uppityperson]

18. You got me wondering here, so am checking last few Jan's.

early Jan deaths
2006 1st-2, 5th-11 = 13
2005 1st-2, 3rd-1, 4th-6, 6th-9 = 18
2004 1st-2, 2nd-5, 5th-1 = 8

Interesting looking at the same few days on the calendar. I don't think projecting from any 1 week is worthwhile, but interesting. RIP all you people.

[sanskritwarrior]

21. Yeah

I thought it was interesting too.....

[formercia]

19. Even terrorists need a vacation

It's a tough life.

[Algorem]

22. they're in the huddle

[mmonk]

23. Could be some misinformation trying to tie

Saddam with the violence (and "terrorism") and thus his death ending the "insurgency" in Iraq.

[TheWraith]

24. Didn't a holy feast start on the 1st?

One which is supposed to require peace on Earth and all that jazz?