Alexandrova Guest Op-Ed:
Saddam's Execution and the Campaign Against Iran
Saddam's Execution and the Iran Option
Larisa Alexandrovna
So we do not see what is going on before our eyes and directly in front of us. We look past it, around it, through it, but not at it. We cannot look directly at it, because if we do, we lose the vision of our beloved America and see something so sinister, that our minds would rather collapse than accept it. ...........
Why is the rush to execute Saddam Hussein not account for Hajj? Or does it? The carriers will be in position and I imagine there will be an event of some sort in Iraq, even more so than the immediate violence set off by Saddam's execution. The attacks will be blamed on Iran, with the help of the Saudis and Pakistan. Iran will be blamed for something that happens in Iraq. The naval carriers, again, will be in position. The sanctions, as watered down as they are, have given the administration the blank check they needed from the world (and they still have their blank check from Congress) to order aerial strikes. The surge troops will be in position and I estimate that ground support will begin around late February, early March.
Saddam's execution and the violence is also a convenient cover the administration while pieces are moved into position and during Hajj, when Muslims are busy across the world.
What they don't seem to realize is that the Persians are the most expert of chess players and they are a patient, strategy minded opponent. They are watching this develop, all of it, and they too are planning their counteraction. They know better than to strike first, because in doing so, they will lose the moral argument (worldview) as well as the advantage of counteraction. The US has a superior air force, but Iran has a formidable navy and while the house of Saud will fuel this, the fallout will be fatal. Why?
Because the US is too stretched to be able to protect Israel and Israel cannot sustain a long term attack. They can sustain a few hits, but they will not be able to sustain a full blown attack. And if you have any doubt, go back to the recent war with Lebanon. The British will pull out, despite promises of support. Blair is on his way out and the British public will not tolerate support for Israel because of its help in supporting US imperialistic aggression. Whatever terrorist cells lurk in the US, and make no mistake, our administration has done little to address this issue, will be activated. Also consider that the house of Saud is not prepared to defend itself against an uprising and that the US cannot protect it while simultaneously operating on three different fronts and covertly in god knows how many. Despite the various sectarian differences in the Muslim world, there are two enemies that they all agree to fight and die fighting against: the US and Israel. This attack will set off a Muslim counterattack so large, that nothing will be able to stop it or contain it.
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more at:
http://www.juancole.com/2006/12/alexandrova-guest-op-ed-saddams.html#comments
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