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Edited on Thu Dec-07-06 02:04 PM by Lexingtonian
It has no importance. The Group lists the military facts (e.g. tenfold underreporting of general violence in Iraq to the American public), but its military views are straight from the officer corps itself. No one serious disputes the empirical facts and the collective view of the U.S. military in the 'report' as a whole. The ISG isn't really concerned with the details of Iraq, anyway, just the big picture as it concerns the American elites.
The Group is all about Washington, about the semi-invisible Establishment of old white men behind the scenes who make up most of the internal opinion of the two Parties with a serious hold on power.
The ISG Report is these old men telling Bush that he and his last loyalists on "winning" in Iraq are now alone in the Beltway, are the crackpots and outsiders now. If you've seen the article about the "group therapy session" in the Oval Office yesterday- it's described and linked on the DailyKos front page- it's nothing about Iraqis and Americans dying, or principles of governance and warfare in a Middle Eastern country. It's all about a Presidency losing yet another bloc of allies and supporters.
If I understand the macroscopic bloc power politics of it, the Report has an unwritten context- which all the participants know- that the 62% left and center elements of the political spectrum are against continuation of the war as is. (Represented by Mitch Daniels and Leon Panetta.) The Report says that of the center Right that the Report represents, moderate Republicans (e.g. Sandra Day O'Connor), a 6% demographic, see no possibility of "victory" now and would go over to opposition when the Maliki government/experiment fails. So far no news- that is merely an accurate, though more informed, reflection of public political opinion.
What is "new" in the Report is that a hardcore generally Republican set of leaders and their demographic, the classical Right, which is an 8% demographic of the electorate, have decided that Iraq is costing them too much power domestically. This is the likes of James Baker and his true importance in the Group. (Baker is the smartest, softest, and nicest-looking politician that bloc has.)
This is the meaning and fallout of the 2006 election loss on the Republican side- a split forming between the classical Right wing (8%) and the reactionary wing (24%).
The ISG Report leaves Bush/Cheney with the solid support only of the reactionary ('hardcore conservative') wings of the Republican Party and a few Southern and other fringe Right winger Democrats, e.g. pro-Likudniks like Lieberman and Harman.
Real Establishment politicians, in order to stay viable and in the game continuously, can't be people of the two 24% end blocs (reactionaries and liberals) of the American political spectrum- that's where ideologues dwell. (That's why Jimmy Carter and Pat Buchanan weren't invited on the commission, btw.) But Bush, Cheney, et al. are defining- painting- themselves into that inviable position, into the right end bloc, losing everyone else. That's the political place Nixon went as everything collapsed in 1973 and where his political demise happened in 1974. This ISG Report is a cold and dire prediction of where "staying the course" leads for the Bush Presidency as a domestic power.
The Report has very little to do with the facts of Iraq and everything to do with national power in the States...as the whole Iraq venture has, from the start.
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