http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/HJ26Ag01.htmlMore confirmation of my theory that Russia, not China, will emerge as a balancing power once the US dollar collapse pushes the Asian and Western economies into depression, with the US taking the brunt of the hit.
China will be a power, but I feel their environmental and resource problems will be impossible to overcome.
If they (the neo-cons) take that nuclear primacy theory seriously, then the human race is really and truly fucked.
In a revealing article titled "The rise of US nuclear primacy" in the March/April Foreign Affairs, the magazine of the New York Council on Foreign Relations, authors Kier Lieber and Daryl Press made the following claim:
"Today, for the first time in almost 50 years, the United States stands on the verge of attaining nuclear primacy. It will probably soon be possible for the United States to destroy the long-range nuclear arsenals of Russia or China with a first strike. This dramatic shift in the nuclear balance of power stems from a series of improvements in the United States' nuclear systems, the precipitous decline of Russia's arsenal, and the glacial pace of modernization of China's nuclear forces. Unless Washington's policies change or Moscow and Beijing take steps to increase the size and readiness of their forces, Russia and China - and the rest of the world - will live in the shadow of US nuclear primacy for many years to come."
The US authors claim, accurately, that since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, Russia's strategic nuclear arsenal has "sharply deteriorated". They also conclude that the United States is, and has been for some time, intentionally pursuing global nuclear primacy. The September 2002 Bush administration National Security Strategy explicitly stated that it was official US policy to establish global military primacy, an unsettling thought for many nations today given the recent actions of Washington since the events of September 2001.