Frank Luntz: "I've given up on 2006, they'll lose 2008 if they don't change...

[kerry-is-my-prez]

Much as I'd like to believe it - I think he's overstating it.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/10/24/AR2006102401563.html?referrer=email&referrer=email&referrer=email

Some conservatives said it is too late. "They honestly need a baseball bat against the head," said Republican pollster Frank Luntz, who helped Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) take over Congress in the 1990s. "Because if they don't change the lexicon immediately, as bad as this election is going to be, they're going to lose the presidency in 2008. I've given up on 2006. They've already made so many mistakes, there's no way they can fix it in two weeks. But I'm worried now they're going to lose all the marbles."

The White House courtship of the right paid enormous dividends in the past, but this year it is complicated by a far more skeptical audience than in 2002 and 2004. Conservatives who were key to those victories have grown frustrated with the Bush policies on federal spending, immigration, Iraq and foreign affairs, and uncertain of his commitment to issues such as preventing legalized same-sex marriage. The Mark Foley page scandal did not help reassure "values voters," as strategists call them, nor did the publication of a book by former White House official David Kuo saying that Bush aides dismissed Christian conservatives as "nuts."

Republicans in Washington Post-ABC News polls are unified behind GOP House candidates, but somewhat less so than Democrats are behind theirs. Ten percent of Republicans in the latest survey said they plan to vote Democratic this year, compared with 4 percent of Democrats who intend to cross over. One reason is that Democrats have made some headway among traditionally conservative groups.

In the most recent poll, 29 percent of self-identified conservatives said they plan to vote for Democrats for the House, compared with 17 percent in 2004. Among white evangelical Protestants, 30 percent favor Democrats, compared with 25 percent two years ago. At the same time, Republicans report being as enthusiastic as Democrats about voting this year, belying the assumption that they might stay home.

-snip-

[niyad]

1. and this would break our hearts why??

[Captain Hilts]

2. THIS from the guy who faked his survey pop. to sell Contract on America.

He's a liar.

[C_U_L8R]

3. Luntz is their biggest cheerleader

and is also responsible for a lot of the reprehensible
crap that republicans use for talking points.
If he says it's bad then it's probably worse
and more importantly.. he's partly to blame for it.

Can't wait for the big republican purge. Haha.

[kerry-is-my-prez]

4. Wasn't there something about Luntz trying to switch over to the Dems?

It was a couple of months ago.

[Chomskyite]

5. Heh

Sounds like Luntz hasn't been invited to the GOP powows lately and he's whining.