interesting take on Israel/Lebanon/Hizbollah war

[zippy890]

ISRAEL’S WAR ON LEBANON'S CIVILIANS: THE (UN-INTENDED) CONSEQUENCES.
OR: HIZBOLLAH (EASILY) OUTSMARTS THE IDIOTS.

Here’s what to expect:

1. Iran probably is thinking about reducing the production of its oil by a small amount, with lots of media fanfare to surround the event, as to create yet more oil price speculation. The rise in prices should make up for Iran’s aid to Lebanon.

....

7. As a consequence of the weakening of the current Lebanese government, expect Hizbollah to become more popular, and the Bush/Israel pillars (Jumblatt, Hariri, Gemayyel, and Geagea) to become more marginal. Hizbollah here has scored a huge success since Israel’s disproportionate anti-civilian retaliation (one that I’m certain Hizbollah had aimed for) should scuttle the inroads made by the Bush-Israel axis in Lebanon. Such inroads had been meant to clip Hizbollah's wings. Bye bye clipping.

http://www.saudipolitics.com/

I've followed this blog for some time and found some of Khater's posts to
be insightful into matters about Middle East and US policy.

[adriennui]

1. oh that hizbollah can do no wrong

i just love your subject title....certainly can't figure out if you're taking sides. hizbollah is one of those groups nthat the more you know about, the more you love.

[zippy890]

2. I don't know enough about hizbollah

to take sides.

But as I said in my OP, I have found Khater's posts to have interesting insights
as relates to Bush/Israel/Saudi issues and matters relating to middle eastern oil politics.

edited to add:

Khater's not a big fan of Hizbollah or religious fanatics

[adriennui]

5. hizbollah has been associated with murder and terrorism for decades

kind of like al qaeda but shiite (and iran) backed. our friends in al qaeda tend to be offshoots of the wahhabis of saudi arabia (sunnis).

[uppityperson]

3. Is this saying that there will be more sympathy for Hizbollah now?

Less for Bush and Israel, more for Hizbollah? That could very well be.

[bemildred]

4. That is interesting.

It does seem clear that Hiz'bullah and Iran incited this, and are happy to keep goading Israel.