a phenomenally great piece of writing from:
Black Scholar, Vol. 35, Issue. 1, p 16 04-01-2005
By Bob Wing
An excerpt:
Alan Abramowitz points out, "Between 2000 and 2004, President Bush's largest gains occurred among less religious voters, not among more religious voters." Among those who attend church weekly or more, his gain was only 1 point. But among those attending services a few times a month he gained four points. From those attending a few times a year, he increased his share by 3 points and from those who never attend services he racked up a four-point gain.
The emphasis on the evangelical vote is a smokescreen motivated by the attempt by Republicans (and conservative Democrats) to move the country rightwards. Meanwhile, most pundits, left and right, refuse to squarely face the white elephant in the room: race.
THE REPUBLICAN VICTORY turned almost exclusively on increasing its share of the white vote. In 2000 Bush won the white vote by 12 points, 54 to 42; in 2004 he increased this to a 17-point margin, 58 to 41. That increase translates into about a 4 million vote gain for Bush, the same number by which Bush turned his 500,000 vote loss in 2000 into a 3.5 million vote victory this time around.
This increase came mainly from white women. Bush carried white men by 24 points in 2000 (60 to 36) and increased that margin by only one point in 2004 (62 to 37). But he increased his margin of victory among white women from only 1 point in 2000 (49 to 48) to 11 points in 2004 (55 to 44). This accounts for a 4 million plus vote swing for Bush. (Women of color favored Kerry by 75 to 24.)
Another overlooked exit poll result is that Kerry actually increased the Democrats' share of the vote among rural and small town voters and held steady among suburbanites. However, his share of the vote in cities fell considerably. In cities of 500,000 or more Kerry won 60 percent of the vote, compared to 71 percent for Gore. Bush increased his big city vote by 13 points, from 26 percent in 2000 to 39 percent in 2004. We are apparently looking at a significant rightward motion among white women in big cities, a real blow to progressive strategy.
Unbelievably gret article that goes through the real votes from last fall and the initial media spin put on those votes. Big discrepency, btw, as we all know. I can't post more because it's a fairly long article and DU rules prevent this. (PM me.)
BTW, screw that thread. I posted once, then went looking for backup and tehn found this info and then said to myself, screw this, it must be Bile Friday. Some threads are beyond redemption.