3. That's not what the pole reflects so far. My guess is
the health insurance companies will be much better off.
The house bill (what will probably be the most liberal bill) calls for a public option pool established by 2013. It also envisions 10 million people in the public option pool by 2020. That's not much. They built in all kinds of fire walls so that people and employers who already have insurance can't join the public pool.
You have to remember that the insurance lobby has been at the table, at the conferences, and supplying tons of campaign cash to all the committee chairs for a long time.
They aren't stupid and they see a chance to really make a lot more of a killing than even they do now.
That's my guess.
Someone posted a graphic of Aetna's stock performance and it doesn't look like their stock holders are in the least bit worried.
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