Daily Racing Form Derby/Oaks Past Performances download link (PDF) FREE!!!

[Earth Bound Misfit]

http://www.drf.com/tc/kentuckyderby/2010/pps.html

Free Kentucky Derby PPs (DRF Classic PDF) http://www.drf.com/tc/kentuckyderby/2010/pps/derby2010classic.pdf
Free Kentucky Derby PPs (DRF EasyForm PDF) http://www.drf.com/tc/kentuckyderby/2010/pps/derby2010easyform.pdf

Free Kentucky Oaks PPs (DRF Classic PDF) http://www.drf.com/tc/kentuckyderby/2010/pps/oaks2010classic.pdf
Free Kentucky Oaks PPs (DRF EasyForm PDF) http://www.drf.com/tc/kentuckyderby/2010/pps/oaks2010easyform.pdf


Happy 'Capping! Hope you pick a winner!

[Earth Bound Misfit]

1. Ice Box's Bullet work in the slop April 23 caught my eye---

WORKS: CD 4f sly :46.4 B 1/28

[Earth Bound Misfit]

2. Extended pedigree (5 gens) of Derby Starters by Post Position

Lookin At Lucky http://www.pedigreequery.com/lookin+at+lucky
Ice Box http://www.pedigreequery.com/ice+box2
Noble's Promise http://www.pedigreequery.com/nobles+promise
Super Saver http://www.pedigreequery.com/super+saver
Line of David http://www.pedigreequery.com/line+of+david
Stately Victor http://www.pedigreequery.com/stately+victor
American Lion http://www.pedigreequery.com/american+lion
Dean's Kitten http://www.pedigreequery.com/deans+kitten
MakeMusicforMe Can't find
Paddy O'Prado http://www.pedigreequery.com/paddy+oprado
DevilMay Care http://www.pedigreequery.com/devil+may+care4
Conveyance http://www.pedigreequery.com/conveyance4
Jackson Bend http://www.pedigreequery.com/jackson+bend
Mission Impazible http://www.pedigreequery.com/mission+impazible
DiscreetlyMine http://www.pedigreequery.com/discreetly+mine
Awesome Act http://www.pedigreequery.com/awesome+act
Dublin http://www.pedigreequery.com/dublin17
Backtalk http://www.pedigreequery.com/backtalk2
Homeboykris http://www.pedigreequery.com/homeboykris
Sidney's Candy http://www.pedigreequery.com/sidneys+candy

[Earth Bound Misfit]

3. EXOTIC WAGER COST CALCULATOR

http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html

[trumad]

4. Going with Super Saver...

hunch---that's all.

[Earth Bound Misfit]

5. Gonna invest half a hunj on exotics.

I've included Super Saver. I'm leaning toward keying Zito's horses (Ice Box & Jackson Bend) 1-2, like you, on a hunch.

ETA: My theory? Zito + Derby + off-track = $$$$$$$

[trumad]

8. off-track is the key

[Earth Bound Misfit]

14. Nice hunch n/t

[PDittie]

6. I'm thinking

1, 4, 11, 14 and/or 16 in some exotic combination.

[Earth Bound Misfit]

7. Too chalky for my tastes.

Louie, Sidney and Awesome are gonna be the top 3 picks if I'm reading this race correctly. I'm gonna toss 1 & 20. I think they may be a false favorites--Beyer #'s not great, polytrack runners...If "Louie" or "Sidney" beats me, so be it. PP's also show "Louie's" jock finds trouble pretty consistently, Baffert was FURIOUS with Gomez in his last. 20 horse field, I figure both are looking at a WORLD OF HURT unless they outsprint the MULTITUDE of other speed horses all looking to do the same thing--find the right spot...in the slop...on a surface they're mostly unfamiliar with...at a distance they've never run before...in a 20 horse field.

"Awesome" is the NOW horse and will be undervalued, but should get a good stalking position so I'll use him in my exotics. His last, the Wood, he had excuses--he lost a shoe after stumbling at the start. But Zito's horse, Jackson Bend, outgamed him and held the place spot behind Eskenderaya.

I like Ice Box. Despite the 6 week layoff, he's got three 9 furlong races this spring. Check out his Fla Derby where he came from the clouds--despite not changing leads in the stretch. Class is his main question, but he's bred up the wahzoo both sides: http://www.pedigreequery.com/ice+box2 I just have a gut feeling that Zito's been hiding this horse's true potential and that last workout jumps out at me--I think he'll stalk the leaders and can get a decent trip from the 2 hole.


Racing luck figures HEAVILY in ANY Derby, this one even more so. It's gonna be decided by who gets a clean trip from off the pace, IMHO.

[Awsi Dooger]

9. There's no such thing as chalk right now

The favorite is 8-1.

I still like the consistent class of Lookin at Lucky and Noble's Promise. When a duo finishes together so often it tends to transfer to the higher stage.

Mostly, I hope it's a monsoon, a circus race and memorable in that regard for decades. I don't want to invest days envisioning brutal conditions and then be dealt the letdown of merely an off track.

[Earth Bound Misfit]

10. Depends on your POV, I guess.

Your point is well taken, however anything short of double digit odds in this type of race is chalky to me.

[trumad]

11. Really---

8 to 1 is fucking a great play.

[Earth Bound Misfit]

12. Not if you don't like him.

I could be wrong, but I only used him 2nd & 3rd in exotics.

[Earth Bound Misfit]

13. "Lucky" & Gomez had a rough trip.

I'm SHOCKED I tells ya. So much for "fucking a great play".

My horse was a BLUR at the end. TONS the best. I had $5 bucks Win-Place, plus a $2 exacta part back wheel with Ice box 2nd so I made about a buck and a quarter.

Racing luck SUCKS.