For each state, I have calculated the # of reported voting irregularities per capita relative to the national average in each of nine categories (Machine problems, Registration-related problems, Voter intimidation problems, Identification-related problems, Provisional ballot problems, Early/late opening, Absentee ballot problems, Long lines, All other).
I then averaged the categories by state. Nine states (PA, OH, FL, AZ, LA, NM, CO, GA, DC) are, by a wide margin, the 2004 voting irregularity champs.
The table below means that per capita reports of voting irregularities in Arizona were 732% of the national per capita average! Ohio was 298% of the national average. Pennsylvania was 264% of the national average. Florida was 243%.
AZ 7.32
GA 7.03
LA 4.09
OH 2.98
PA 2.64
NM 2.52
FL 2.43
DC 2.41
CO 2.40
WI 1.01
SC 0.97
NJ 0.93
MO 0.89
NY 0.80
MI 0.78
NV 0.78
IL 0.71
NC 0.61
CA 0.56
TX 0.56
VA 0.56
WA 0.52
MD 0.51
AL 0.50
TN 0.41
MS 0.32
IN 0.31
AR 0.30
DE 0.29
AK 0.26
NH 0.23
MA 0.22
KY 0.21
UT 0.20
WV 0.18
NE 0.18
ID 0.17
OR 0.15
ME 0.15
HI 0.14
MT 0.13
MN 0.11
KS 0.11
VT 0.10
WY 0.10
RI 0.10
CT 0.07
OK 0.06
ND 0.05
IA 0.05
SD 0.05
Broken down by category:
State Machine problems Registration-related problems Voter intimidation problems Identification-related problems Provisional ballot problems Early/late opening Absentee ballot problems Long lines All other Irregularities index (Kerry official - Kerry exit polls)
AZ 2.89 6.04 8.25 5.03 12.62 6.59 6.98 8.83 8.63 7.32 -2.56
GA 5.79 4.88 5.88 5.62 7.66 8.87 3.68 17.49 3.39 7.03 -1.59
LA 10.28 2.59 2.37 3.34 8.51 2.59 0.71 5.68 0.74 4.09 -2.08
OH 2.83 1.67 2.87 2.42 3.41 2.51 1.76 7.93 1.45 2.98 -3.1
PA 2.71 2.44 3.42 2.69 3.66 3.54 1.89 1.04 2.36 2.64 -3.35
NM 4.16 1.98 1.81 2.46 4.22 1.29 2.99 1.03 2.74 2.52 -1.81
FL 2.70 1.56 3.07 2.30 1.24 2.88 3.84 2.34 1.91 2.43 -3.03
DC 4.74 3.34 1.09 1.86 1.60 0.00 4.77 1.39 2.92 2.41 -0.09
CO 1.34 2.42 1.40 3.60 3.07 2.89 2.67 1.60 2.63 2.40 -1.63
WI 0.63 0.49 1.19 1.14 0.08 1.37 0.58 1.32 2.27 1.01 -1.99
SC 0.91 0.94 1.43 1.43 0.55 1.42 0.52 0.86 0.66 0.97 -4.59
NJ 0.93 2.02 0.80 0.78 1.14 0.57 0.88 0.25 1.01 0.93 -1.46
MO 0.14 1.09 0.74 1.16 0.72 1.57 0.63 0.81 1.14 0.89 -1.5
NY 1.38 1.04 0.29 0.75 0.46 0.84 0.76 0.43 1.23 0.80 -3.82
MI 0.97 0.69 1.00 0.90 0.52 0.38 0.48 1.59 0.49 0.78 -0.98
NV 0.28 1.08 1.11 0.75 0.77 0.75 0.84 0.40 1.01 0.78 -0.87
IL 0.96 1.00 0.69 0.95 0.63 0.56 0.51 0.25 0.86 0.71 -2
NC 0.53 0.39 0.76 0.60 0.98 0.72 0.43 0.41 0.63 0.61 -4
CA 0.47 1.02 0.40 0.36 0.48 0.42 1.16 0.09 0.66 0.56 1.56
TX 0.54 1.02 0.52 0.79 0.23 0.39 0.31 0.12 1.14 0.56 1.38
VA 0.64 0.84 0.52 1.01 0.28 0.21 0.74 0.22 0.58 0.56 0.25
WA 0.17 0.61 0.19 0.33 0.80 0.65 1.38 0.00 0.60 0.52 -1.41
MD 0.24 0.55 0.49 0.50 0.86 0.43 0.49 0.78 0.26 0.51 -0.43
AL 0.45 0.00 0.38 0.65 0.33 0.33 0.51 0.35 1.47 0.50 -4
TN 0.14 0.57 0.48 0.40 0.28 1.13 0.28 0.13 0.30 0.41 1.5
MS 0.38 0.16 0.55 0.15 0.37 0.78 0.30 0.07 0.17 0.32 -3.25
IN 0.18 0.50 0.18 0.62 0.20 0.24 0.18 0.13 0.54 0.31 -1.61
AR 0.15 0.33 0.46 0.32 0.28 0.00 0.35 0.30 0.54 0.30 -1.15
DE 0.00 0.64 0.60 0.81 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.00 0.15 0.29 -4.96
AK 0.00 0.03 0.27 0.00 0.26 0.00 1.62 0.00 0.12 0.26 -4.42
NH 0.00 0.20 0.61 0.50 0.12 0.00 0.56 0.00 0.13 0.23 -4.89
MA 0.17 0.14 0.35 0.27 0.65 0.00 0.26 0.03 0.09 0.22 -3.37
KY 0.06 0.33 0.22 0.40 0.07 0.00 0.14 0.19 0.43 0.21 -1
UT 0.07 0.36 0.45 0.21 0.22 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.21 0.20 -2.95
WV 0.14 0.20 0.08 0.11 0.16 0.77 0.11 0.00 0.07 0.18 -1.82
NE 0.00 0.42 0.28 0.00 0.27 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.50 0.18 -4.43
ID 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.30 0.41 0.17 -2.89
OR 0.00 0.24 0.18 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.00 0.32 0.15 0.8
ME 0.10 0.26 0.23 0.16 0.11 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.34 0.15 -0.67
HI 0.23 0.21 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.00 0.10 0.14 1.25
MT 0.29 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.08 0.21 0.20 0.13 0.05
MN 0.11 0.06 0.32 0.22 0.00 0.15 0.04 0.08 0.04 0.11 -2.98
KS 0.10 0.14 0.06 0.08 0.17 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.26 0.11 2.37
VT 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.00 0.25 0.10 -4.8
WY 0.27 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.23 0.10 -1.31
RI 0.13 0.21 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.23 0.10 -3.39
CT 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.06 0.05 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.11 0.07 -3.4
OK 0.24 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.08 0.06 -1
ND 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.04 0.05 2.36
IA 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.07 0.05 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.10 0.05 -1.16
SD 0.00 0.13 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.05 1.64
Data sources:
Exit poll, vote, and Kerry shift: DU member TruthIsAll (www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=79036&mesg_id=79036)
Reported voting irregularities: "Election Incident Reporting System" - various charts (voteprotect.org)
Voting eligible population: "Voting-Age and Voting-Eligible Population Turnout Rates" (
http://elections.gmu.edu/VAP_VEP.htm)