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Sade Donating Member (32 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:36 PM
Original message
Here's the link to the Ohio provisional ballots
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benburch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:39 PM
Response to Original message
1. Only GOP counties so far...
The story will be the urban "blue" counties.
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ZRB Donating Member (229 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:43 PM
Response to Original message
2. So Bush has already got 16,000 provisionals???
Then it's pretty much over for Ohio. This is horrifying.
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TrueAmerican Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:46 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. How Long?
How Long is your stay?

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bemis12 Donating Member (594 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:48 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. I don't think so
It looks like it's the TOTAL votes, not just provisionals.

Looking at Adams Co, I see:

Election night:
Bush 7,480
Kerry 4,189
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/OH/P/00/county.000.html

So the Adams results shown have to include the votes counted election night.
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:52 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Yes you appear to be right
Edited on Thu Nov-18-04 07:54 PM by jsamuel
Gallia

candidate Old New
Bush - 8,320 8,577 = +257
Kerry - 5,188 5,364 = +176

Adams

candidate Old New
Bush - 7,480 7,653 = +173
Kerry - 4,189 4,280 = +91
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:01 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. WOH!!! LOOK AT THIS!
Edited on Thu Nov-18-04 08:02 PM by jsamuel
http://election.sos.state.oh.us/ProvBallots.htm

Notice # of Provisionals

Adams = 184
#Increase = 264

Gallia = 574
#Increase = 433

I SMELL SMOKE!!!
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Junkdrawer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:04 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Is it provisional + absentee???
:shrug:
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:07 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Highly doubt that!
Edited on Thu Nov-18-04 08:08 PM by jsamuel
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MRKARNO Donating Member (44 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:19 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. I dont think so
I'm pretty sure that those totals do not include the absentee ballots. These new results coming out tonight should be the last reported results, plus the absentee and plus the accepted provisionals. There still might be enough to tip the election to Kerry without a recount, but it would take the Absentee ballots going for Kerry in at least some proportion.
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:20 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. What do you think about the fact that there are MORE VOTES THAN BALLOTS?
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MRKARNO Donating Member (44 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:31 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. More votes than voters?
Or more new votes than provisional ballots and absentee ballots combined? I'm not sure what you're saying.
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 05:58 PM
Response to Reply #13
46. MRKARNO!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:15 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. SMOKE!!! SMOKE!!! SMOKE!!!
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Carolab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:59 PM
Response to Reply #12
16. I think I know...
Edited on Thu Nov-18-04 09:03 PM by Carolab
more provisional votes added than provisional ballots issued? Is that it jsamuel?

I think it is ODD that Nader got NO votes in any of these counties. Isn't that rather unlikely? I mean he must have been on the ballots, cuz his name is there.
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:14 PM
Response to Reply #16
28. Yes, exactly. It could be just like all Rep. leaning counties
Every time they add ballots, the tabulators boost the numbers for Bush and don't consider the actuall numbers comming into the tabulator.
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delphine Donating Member (148 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:14 PM
Response to Reply #12
27. These are the
original ballot totals, so I am assuming they have revised the totals upwards as they did their final tallies.

Sometimes a cigar is just a cigar.

I still cannot find results for provisionals anywhere, though.
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Eloriel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:17 PM
Response to Reply #2
19. I think you don't quite understand what the point of the recount
is --

It's NOT to overturn the election, if that's what you were hoping. It's to (try to) save democracy.

Have a look:

VOTE FRAUD Links - a DU Compendium
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=201&topic_id=1984#

VOTE FRAUD Links Compendium - Thread #2
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=201x3223

ALSO SEE: VOTE FRAUD? What can we do? http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=104&topic_id=2701028#

********SEND THIS TO EVERYONE YOU KNOW AND MEDIA TOO *********
Best Fraud Summary I've seen!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x57214
Link: http://www.bopnews.com

NEW Berkeley Study: http://ucdata.berkeley.edu (scroll down)
and: http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/new_web/VOTE2004/index.html
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ReneB Donating Member (135 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:45 PM
Response to Original message
3. nervermind (edited)
Edited on Thu Nov-18-04 07:47 PM by ReneB
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ZRB Donating Member (229 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:49 PM
Response to Original message
6. That was too much
Those aren't provisional results... Thank god.

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Chili Donating Member (832 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:57 PM
Response to Original message
8. that page is very misleading...
Edited on Thu Nov-18-04 07:59 PM by Chili
...the actual provisioinal ballot list is on the left - see the red link titled "PROVISIONAL BALLOTS CAST BY COUNTY>" - I think what we're seeing there are the certified totals of the counties that have reported in.

http://election.sos.state.oh.us/ProvBallots.htm

Note that the total of ballots on that page is 135,000... but that there are counties missing (like Mahoning, very important county). So we really don't know how many provisional ballots there are - is there an an accurate, reliable count somewhere? I doubt it.

Edit - geez, Summit and Darke counties are missing too... both counties had problems...
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mostly_lurking Donating Member (174 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:13 PM
Response to Reply #8
17. Here's the final, accurate count of Provisional ballots
http://www.sos.state.oh.us/sos/results/2004/gen/voterTurn.htm

Look at the last column. All counties are listed.
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Razorback_Democrat Donating Member (756 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:30 PM
Original message
Those aren't counted Provisional Ballots
those are just ballots issued

and the stats here don't show more votes than voters in any county.

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Baja Margie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:16 PM
Response to Original message
18. Kick
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PeterPan Donating Member (224 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:18 PM
Response to Reply #18
20. does anyone have the link to the county-by-county
totals before the provisional ballots were added?
and does anyone know how many absentee ballots there were in ohio?
thanx!
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PeterPan Donating Member (224 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:24 PM
Response to Reply #20
21. found the totals
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momzno1 Donating Member (434 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. how does Cuyahoga county's totals compare to the 93,000 confusion that
they had on their website?
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PeterPan Donating Member (224 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:00 PM
Response to Original message
23. so we have 2 counties thus far reported
both heavily repug

adams

total provisional ballots - 264
* 173
kerry 91

however

gallia
total provisional ballots 574
* 257
kerry 176

so there are 141 prov ballots missing - determined ineligible? but i thought the totals on the sos site already reflected the first purge.
any clarification?
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:06 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. EXACTLY, ALSO NOTICE ADAMS SAYS 184 PROVISIONALS, BUT INCREASED BY 264!
Edited on Thu Nov-18-04 10:20 PM by jsamuel
Old:
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/vote2004/PresidentialByCounty.aspx?oi=P&rti=G&sp=OH&tf=l
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/FL/P/00/county.000.html#12001

New:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/OH/P/00/county.000.html

NUMBERS OF PROVISIONAL BALLOTS CAST:
http://election.sos.state.oh.us/ProvBallots.htm


Gallia

candidate Old New
Bush - 8,320 8,577 = +257
Kerry - 5,188 5,364 = +176

Adams

candidate Old New
Bush - 7,480 7,653 = +173
Kerry - 4,189 4,280 = +91


Notice # of Provisionals

Adams = 184
#Increase = 264

Gallia = 574
#Increase = 433

I SMELL SMOKE!!!
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PeterPan Donating Member (224 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:15 PM
Response to Reply #25
29. that is adams increased by 80 and gallia decreased by 141
this is exactly why elections are so easy to steal
so convoluted that it takes duers to figure it out
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delphine Donating Member (148 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:18 PM
Response to Reply #23
30. WHERE?
is this coming from. I am searching the site forever and don't have a clue where you are seeing this.
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Hobbes199 Donating Member (430 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:05 PM
Response to Original message
24. Better be double checking those by phone/canvass,
and comparing to poll books to look for double votes.
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delphine Donating Member (148 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:11 PM
Response to Original message
26. Hmmm, I need some assistance
Can someone please tell me where on the page there are any results for provisional ballots?

I can find the original list with total ballots in each county (which numbers may have changed by now as more accurate ballot counts are made).

I can find what looks like total totals for two counties.

Someone is posting results for * and Kerry in those counties.

PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE tell me where you are seeing this stuff!

I have opened the page 10 times and looked everywhere and nowhere do I see any results for provisional ballots only.
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:23 PM
Response to Reply #26
31. I updated a previous post will all the links
There is no "PROVISONAL TOTAL". That makes it harder to notice that the computer is counting 184 Ballots as 264 votes.

SMOKE!
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delphine Donating Member (148 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:28 PM
Response to Reply #31
32. Sorry, I still
don't get it. Can you explain more clearly for those of us who have no freaking idea what you are saying?

I don't know how you are seeing the totals. Are you taking screenshots and comparing? ??
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badc0der Donating Member (64 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:30 PM
Response to Reply #26
33. new totals reflect the provisional votes
To get only the provisional votes subtract the old vote totals (several links in this thread).
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delphine Donating Member (148 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:32 PM
Response to Reply #33
34. Adams county
was 11,999 two hours ago when I tried this link at work. When was it less than that?

I don't see the other links, only people stating totals and changes that look like nonsense.
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delphine Donating Member (148 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:34 PM
Response to Reply #34
35. Despite the fact
that I think of myself as being quite intelligent, can you explain this to me "like I was a 5 year old"?

Maybe it's just been a long day but I am not seeing any totals changing. And the links I am finding are updating every 15 minutes so there's no way to compare to an older total.
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:40 PM
Response to Reply #35
36. Ok, here it goes
Look at the old totals. (CNN link or USA Today link)

You see Adams county's totals. Notice that these are without the provisionals being added.

Now look at the new totals that have been updated with provisionals. (Ohio website link)

Notice that they are different from the old totals. If you subtract the new totals (ones with the provisionals) by the old totals (ones without the provisionals) you get the number of votes added to the candidates.

Now compare that number (Adams is 264) with the number of provisional ballots cast (the other link - Adams is 184). You will notice that more votes were added to the candidates than there were provisional ballots cast.

Now, what does this mean?

SMOKE!!! There may be a fire!

In other words, the computer that takes the number of votes is fudging the numbers to what it was told to give to either candidate. That causes more votes for a candidate than there were provisional ballots cast
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delphine Donating Member (148 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:42 PM
Response to Reply #36
37. Okay, I wasn't seeing the CNN link (still don't, but anyway)
But remember the provisional ballot totals are preliminary numbers from 11/2/04.

Most likely they just didn't have a final total. Some of the counties are missing a provisional ballot total altogether. And the list only adds up to 135,000, but we know there are at least 20,000 more than that.

So most likely they have new provisional totals but don't have them up there.
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:44 PM
Response to Reply #37
39. Here is a better link for the number of provisionals, same for Adams
Edited on Thu Nov-18-04 10:46 PM by jsamuel
http://www.sos.state.oh.us/sos/results/2004/gen/voterTurn.htm

Adams still shows 184. The only difference is that all counties have reported.

Here is the cnn link:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/FL/P/00/county.000.html#12001
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badc0der Donating Member (64 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:49 PM
Response to Reply #35
40. np
From:
http://election.sos.state.oh.us/results/RaceDetail.aspx?race=PP
We can see...
Adams:
Bush, George W. Republican 7,653
Kerry, John F. Democratic 4,280
Badnarik, Michael 35
Peroutka, Michael Anthony 31

These are the new vote totals for Adams County


From:
http://www.sos.state.oh.us/sos/results/11-02-04.htm
We can see...
Adams:
Bush, George W. Republican 7,480
Kerry, John F. Democratic 4,189
Badnarik, Michael 35
Peroutka, Michael Anthony 31

These are the totals with out provisional votes

So we can conclude that the breakdown of provisional ballots is
Adams:
Bush, George W. Republican 173 (7,653-7,480)
Kerry, John F. Democratic 91 (4,280-4,189)
Badnarik, Michael 0 (35-35)
Peroutka, Michael Anthony 0 (31-31)

Interestingly the total number of provisional votes counted in Adams County is 264 but according to the Ohio BOE (http://www.sos.state.oh.us/sos/results/11-02-04.htm) there were only 184 provisional ballots cast. Something is not adding up.
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liberal al zib Donating Member (94 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 11:35 PM
Response to Reply #40
41. The additional 80 ballots
in Adams county comes from oversees absentee ballots.
80 (oversees absentee ballots) + 184 (provisional ballots) = 264 ballots total.
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KatieB Donating Member (431 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 12:44 AM
Response to Reply #40
44. Woah - 264 counted but only 184 cast? Track this!
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mackdaddy Donating Member (177 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:43 PM
Response to Original message
38. Counts will be coming in for a while yet in Ohio
I live in Hocking county (Rural SE Ohio) and stopped by the county Board of elections office. They have all of three people running the office, and were still opening Absentee and Provisional ballot envelopes.

They will run their final counts (punch cards) through the machine tomorrow (Friday the 19th).

By the way, they have an older non-diebold tabulator PC setup, no modems or networks connections to it, and they print out the reports on paper, and feed those into a standard fax machine to send to totals to Columbus to the SOS office. Looks pretty up and up down here, but I still think Franklin county looks dirty.



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PeterPan Donating Member (224 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 12:20 AM
Response to Reply #38
42. were there any party observers there?!!?
lord do we need a recount!
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Vote4Kerry Donating Member (372 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 12:39 AM
Response to Original message
43. Sign Nader petition to impeach Bush
Sign this petition on Nader's site to impeach Bush:

http://www.votenader.org/get_involved/impeach_view.php



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ahyums Donating Member (348 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 12:32 PM
Response to Original message
45. they've added some more now. Athens doesn't seem to have counted any
provisionals. Count is exactly the same as it was on election night, yet 2,500 were cast. I wonder what's going on?
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