TruthIsAll: Election Defense Through Awareness: Election Forum News 10.16

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Sollidarity Solidaridad

Brad Friedman & Land Shark (Paul Lehto) Size Up Emergency Paper Ballots for 2006 …
”Is this the end for Little Ricky (in PA) …Great Mexico Stuff AND

TruthIsAll formulates RISKS for Election Day – Be Aware

(Full post just below)

DemWin DEM REP Prob >Margin of Error (MoE)?

Dems win ALL races where their lead exceeds the MoE:

1 NY-26: Davis (D) Reynolds (R) 56 40 100% y
2 OH-15: Kilroy (D) Pryce (R) 53 41 100% y
3 NY-24: Arcuri (D) Mieir (R) 53 42 100% y
4 OH-18: Space (D) Padgett (R 51 42 100% y
5 PA-07: Sestak (D) Weldon (R) 52 44 100% y
6 NM-01: Madrid (R) Wilson (R) 52 44 100% y
7 NC-11: Shuler (D) Taylor (R) 51 43 100% y
8 NC-08: Kissel (D) Hayes (R) 51 44 100% y
9 PA-06: Murphy (D) Gerlach (R) 52 46 100% y
_______

GOP steals 5+ races where the Dem lead is within the MoE:

10 MN-06: Wetterling (D) Bachmann (R) 50 45 100%
11 IN-02: Donnelly (D) Chocola (R) 50 46 100%
12 AZ-01: Simon (D) Renzi (R) 50 46 100%
13 OH-02: Wulsin (D) Schmidt (R) 48 45 98%
14 FL-13: Jennings (D) Buchannan (R) 47 44 98%
15 WI-08: Kagen (D) Gard (R) 48 46 90%
16 IA-02: Loebsack (D) Leach (R) 48 47 74%
17 KY-03: Yarmuth (D) Northup (R) 48 48 50%
18 IL-06: Duckworth (D) Roskam (R) 47 47 50%
19 CO-07: Perlmutter (D) O'Donell (R) 47 47 50%

_______

GOP wins ALL races in which they are leading

20 MN-01: Gutknecht (R) Walz (D) 47 48 26%
21 VA-02: Drake (R) Kellam (D) 46 48 10%
22 NJ-07: Ferguson (R) Stender (D) 46 48 10%
23 NY-03: King (R) Mejas (D) 46 48 10%
24 WA-08: Reichert (R) Burner (D) 45 48 2%
25 KY-04: Davis (R) Lucas (D) 46 49 2%
26 VA-10: Wolf (R) Feder (D) 42 47 0%
27 ID-01: Sali (R) Grant (D) 43 49 0%
28 CT-05: Johnson (R) Murphy (D) 46 52 0%
29 CA-04: Doolittle (R) Brown (D) 44 52 0%
30 IL-14: Hastert (R) Leasch (D) 42 52 0%
31 IL-19: Shimkus (R) Stover (D) 36 53 0%

Never forget the pursuit of Truth.
Only the deluded & complicit accept election results on blind faith.
Election Reform, Fraud, & Related News October 16, 2006

All members welcome and encouraged to participate.

Please post Election Reform, Fraud, & Related News on this thread.
Please

"Recommend"

for the Greatest Page (it's the link just below).

Check www.electionfraudnews.com every now and then.

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1. TruthIsAll: Formula for Election Defense

Voters beware; they have not changed their stripes, despite what some of the soothsayers utter. It’s the same Bush, the same Rove and the same prospects for a real nasty investigation. This is the latest from TIA, get this to our local candidates and send it to DNC. Forewarned is forearmed.

Melissa G
Original message

Channeling TIA: Here's why the GOP can steal the election

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x453066

These are the current media projections, based on the latest polls:
Senate: 50 Democrats, 49 Republicans, 1 tie
House: 226 Democrats, 205 Republicans, 4 Ties

Looks good, right? Well, yes, but...
The projections fail to account for:
1) The HISTORICAL RECORD of uncounted spoiled/lost votes (mostly Democratic)
2) GOP voting machines PROVEN TO BE EASILY HACKABLE BY EXPERTS:
Johns Hopkins, Princeton, Hursti, etc.

There are currently 31 GOP House seats in play. If the election were held today,
the probability that the GOP would win at least 1 of the 9 in which the
Democratic lead EXCEEDS the 3% polling MoE is 20%; the probability they would
win at least 2 is just 2%. Let's assume that the GOP won't win or steal ANY of
these seats; it would be too obvious if they tried. Therefore, the best
projection estimate is: Dems will win all 9 seats in which they are leading
beyond the margin of error.

But the Dems need to win 15 GOP seats to gain control of the House, assuming
they keep ALL of their current seats. What's to stop the GOP from stealing 5 of
the 10 seats in which the Democratic lead is within the MoE (7 seats) or in
which they are tied (3 seats)? That's all the GOP would need to win a one-seat
House majority.

The polls don't factor in the spoiled and lost votes (mostly democratic) which
occur in EVERY election. This suggests that the net Democratic lead may be 1%
LOWER than the polls suggest. On the other hand, the undecided vote (currently
5%) usually splits in favor of the challenger - in this case, the Democrat. So
we may have a wash here.

I hope I'm wrong and that fraud will not be a factor in this election. I want to
see the Dems win big. But we all know what happened in the last three elections,
don't we? The motivation to steal it is just as powerful, if not more so, then
it was in 2000,2002,2004. BushCo will do ANYTHING NECESSARY TO STAY IN POWER.

The data source for the "House Forecast Update" is www.mydd.com .

FRAUD is not mentioned once in the OP or the 50+ comments. It's as if there is
ZERO probability of vote-switching or spoiled, uncounted Democratic votes.

Image


DemWin DEM REP Prob >MoE?

Dems win ALL races where their lead exceeds the MoE:

1 NY-26: Davis (D) Reynolds (R) 56 40 100% y
2 OH-15: Kilroy (D) Pryce (R) 53 41 100% y
3 NY-24: Arcuri (D) Mieir (R) 53 42 100% y
4 OH-18: Space (D) Padgett (R 51 42 100% y
5 PA-07: Sestak (D) Weldon (R) 52 44 100% y
6 NM-01: Madrid (R) Wilson (R) 52 44 100% y
7 NC-11: Shuler (D) Taylor (R) 51 43 100% y
8 NC-08: Kissel (D) Hayes (R) 51 44 100% y
9 PA-06: Murphy (D) Gerlach (R) 52 46 100% y
_______

GOP steals 5+ races where the Dem lead is within the MoE:

10 MN-06: Wetterling (D) Bachmann (R) 50 45 100%
11 IN-02: Donnelly (D) Chocola (R) 50 46 100%
12 AZ-01: Simon (D) Renzi (R) 50 46 100%
13 OH-02: Wulsin (D) Schmidt (R) 48 45 98%
14 FL-13: Jennings (D) Buchannan (R) 47 44 98%
15 WI-08: Kagen (D) Gard (R) 48 46 90%
16 IA-02: Loebsack (D) Leach (R) 48 47 74%
17 KY-03: Yarmuth (D) Northup (R) 48 48 50%
18 IL-06: Duckworth (D) Roskam (R) 47 47 50%
19 CO-07: Perlmutter (D) O'Donell (R) 47 47 50%

_______

GOP wins ALL races in which they are leading:

20 MN-01: Gutknecht (R) Walz (D) 47 48 26%
21 VA-02: Drake (R) Kellam (D) 46 48 10%
22 NJ-07: Ferguson (R) Stender (D) 46 48 10%
23 NY-03: King (R) Mejas (D) 46 48 10%
24 WA-08: Reichert (R) Burner (D) 45 48 2%
25 KY-04: Davis (R) Lucas (D) 46 49 2%
26 VA-10: Wolf (R) Feder (D) 42 47 0%
27 ID-01: Sali (R) Grant (D) 43 49 0%
28 CT-05: Johnson (R) Murphy (D) 46 52 0%
29 CA-04: Doolittle (R) Brown (D) 44 52 0%
30 IL-14: Hastert (R) Leasch (D) 42 52 0%
31 IL-19: Shimkus (R) Stover (D) 36 53 0%

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2. Nation: Emergency Paper Ballots Called For - BradBlog

I report, you decide:) Actually, I decide what I want to report and you can decide to read it not. I could go on forever…

Brad covers the issues and presents the statement sent to the elections officials.
One stop shopping.

Thanks Brad Friedman for all you do for the voting rights movement.

http://www.bradblog.com/?p=3576

BLOGGED BY Brad ON 10/12/2006 1:03PM
Open Letter Sent to States Urging Emergency Paper Ballot Plans and Procedures for November Election
Urgent Plea Mailed to 50 State Governors, Sec's of State and Election Directors Signed by Broad Coalition of Election Integrity Advocacy Orgs, Congressional Members,

Elections Officials, Computer Scientists, Civil Rights Attorneys and Journalists
Initial Federal Effort Calling for Back-Up Paper Ballots Now Moves to States, Citizens Asked to Join the Call!

The letter, drafted by this journalist along with a number of other signatories, was sent to all recipients via return-receipt requested certified mailing this morning by VelvetRevolution.us.

With the failure of Congress to pass such crucial legislation prior to this November's important general election, the effort now moves to the State and Local level. Organizations and individuals are called on to contact their State and Local Elections officials to assure that plans are in place to accommodate any and all unforeseen circumstances.

Alluding to Americans who have fought for and defended the right to vote in the past, and indeed to this day around the globe, the letter concludes: "Our vote is our precious franchise. We believe it is worth defending, and worth the effort to guarantee that that right remains assured and inviolate."
Progressive Democrats of America (PDA), one of the initial signatories, has created an online petition for citizens to urge their Secretaries of State and Governors to ensure such plans and procedures are created and implemented immediately. Take action by clicking here…

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3. Land Shark - And the cautions from another blue chip voting rights

People should not get the knickers in a knot over any disagreements on this issue. Everybody is doing there best and thinking through issues as well as they can. Open debate is critical.

Thank you Land Shark for your tireless devotion to the cause of free and fair elections.

Land Shark Fri Oct-13-06 06:40 AM
Original message
"Emergency Paper Ballots" will sink Dems in Nov (& I'm a paper ballot guy)

I'm against emergency paper ballots and am starting to say so in various writings. Ironically, emergency paper ballots will greatly help to snatch Democratic defeat from the jaws of Democratic victory.

On the other hand, if you're one of my Republican friends you will like these emergency paper ballots.

And indeed, my favorite top political operative for Republicans in the Republican California Secretary of State’s office is indeed highly in favor of emergency paper ballots: Susan Lapsley.

Per a letter of instructions from Susan Lapsley to all California Counties, I note that 10 days ago, this key political operative for the Republicans and highly vendor-connected Susan Lapsley of the California Secretary of State's office had already instructed California counties to have emergency paper ballots on hand, photocopying them if necessary. (email me for copy at [e-mail], and check replies below because there may be a we blink to it soon)

Especially since Susan Lapsley is the one who wrote to the House of Representatives which interpreted her letter as the green light to swear in Bilbray one week after the election in California's 50th Congressional District's special election this past June 6, this enthusiastic support by Lapsley for emergency paper ballots should, at the very least, give pause. Lapsley is the one person in the California Secretary of State's office that has the authority to do things without checkin' with anybody, and has had that authority since arriving on Day One, not too long ago, so she's some sort of big wheel.

Problems with Emergency Ballots:

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: All of the votes that get siphoned off into absentees and "emergency paper ballots" will be very disproportionately Dem votes. That will mean that in many critical races the Dems will start off LOSING on election night and will have to fight not just on November 7 (election day) to have votes counted, but on November 8, again on November 9, November 10, November 11, November 12, November 13, November 14, November 15, November 16, November 17, November 18, November 19 .... in fact DON'T PLAN ON EATING ANY TURKEY ON THANKSGIVING DAY because it puts you to sleep with tryptophan and then your votes will definitely not be counted.

Seriously, the election STARTS on November 8 in any jurisdiction where folks are investing in an absentee or emergency paper ballot strategery (sic). And this long slog back through the slime of media defeat based on election night touch screen DRE results will be subject to definite legal risks of court-ordered stoppage of the count, because the emergency paper ballots are being deployed without the HAVA-required and LAVA-provided legal infrastructure required by HAVA and Bush v. Gore to be set prior to the election and not made up after the election.... As such, the entire class is subject to being considered "illegal ballots" and although notice of this risk is not required in order to make this claim, we are surely on notice that emergency paper ballots may well lack the necessary legal authorization because folks pushed for LAVA and obviously it DID NOT PASS. In any event, the Busby Bilbray race was the first federal election after the January 2006 HAVA deadline and it took them over three weeks after the June 6 election to finish counting the ballots and there will be MORE of them in November. They of course reported DRE results immediately.

(more at OP)

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4. Susan Lapsley of Bilbray/Hastert Fame and CA Scty of St. Office Weighs In

CA Secretary of States Office, Susan Lapsley, calls for emergency paper ballots, “Xeroxed” it they must be. Hmmm…
[br />Susan Lapsley’s previous appearance in election history…

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5. But wait, the Dem Candidate for CA Secty. of State Favors Them…

Well, alrighty then…

http://www.debrabowen.com/

BLOGGED BY Brad ON 9/28/2006 8:30AM
California Sec. of State Candidate Lauds Emergency Paper Ballot Legislation!

'It's the Help America Vote Act, not the Help Diebold Profit Act,' Says Dem Nominee
State Senator Debra Bowen, Staunch Election Transparency Proponent, Issues Strong Statement on Congressional Initiatives!

The Democratic nominee for Secretary of State in California issued a powerful statement in support of recent legislation filed by several Senators and Representatives in both the U.S. House and Senate calling for Emergency Paper Ballots at the polling place this November.

The 11th hour Congressional bills, filed on Tuesday and Wednesday, just days before both chambers adjourn for the Election Recess, will offer voters the right to vote on paper ballots this year and see those costs reimbursed by the Federal Government. The legislation, if passed, is estimated to cost approximately $10 million. It would amend the disastrous 2002 Help America Vote Act (HAVA) which has mandated some $3 billion to encourage States and Counties to "upgrade" to electronic voting systems.
Monumental failures in those systems, during primary elections across the country over the last several months, have sent thousands of voters away from the polls without being able to cast any vote at all. The situation could be far worse during the general election when voter turnout will be a great deal higher than it's been so far in the mid-year primaries.

"Remember, it's the 'Help America Vote Act,' not the 'Help Diebold Profit Act,'" said Bowen, in a stinging comment referring to one of America's largest manufacturers of inaccurate, untested, electronic voting machines. "It's why this low-tech option makes so much sense, especially in light of all of the problems electronic voting machines have had in primary elections this year, not just in California, but also in Texas, Illinois, and most recently Maryland."

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6. PA: Is this the end of Little Ricky – nobody has a kind word for him.

Well, well, well…this is a foreign newspaper’s assessment of Pennsylvania. Remember 2004, how * did much better than expected there, even though he lost. There has been a lot of controversy in Pennsylvania about voting systems. The machines prevailed, however. Watch this one. Little Ricky just might pull it out. He is a Rove favorite and that “counts” for something now doesn’t it?

The Sydney Morning Herald 10.16.06
The bell tolls for Bush's man in Pennsylvania

http://tinyurl.com/vdpk7

Michael Gawenda
Herald Correspondent in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania

IN PHILADELPHIA, it is almost impossible to find anyone with a good word for Rick Santorum, the Republican senator from Pennsylvania who, just a few years ago, was a rising star, a smart and ruthless politician who saw himself as a spear-carrier for the party's base.

Snip

And even though Pennsylvania has voted Democrat in the past four presidential elections, Santorum managed to defend his Senate seat, both times coming from behind in the polls.

He is, in a sense, the embodiment of the political strategy devised by Karl Rove, George Bush's senior adviser, who reckoned that as long as the party could maintain the support of its conservative base, it would invariably win most races, albeit by small margins.

If Santorum loses in Pennsylvania, Bush will have lost as well. When even in the state's church-going conservative heartland there is disillusionment with Santorum and Bush, America might be on the brink of a political earthquake.

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7. Nation: “Answers.Com” just can’t stand HAVA.

Well, Wikipedia is in on the game and they’ve always been there. This is excellent brief article. The author reaches a clear conclusion about HAVA, well worth a read..

10.12.06
U.S. Politics: Current Events
From Kathy Gill,
Your Guide to U.S. Politics: Current Events.

FREE Newsletter. Sign Up Now!

Report Puts Election Fraud On Front Burner

USA Today published a controversial draft report from the Election Assistance Commission that suggests voter fraud is "less of a problem than is commonly described in political debate." The controversy lies in the fact that the report has remained under wraps since mid-May, and a final report isn't due until after the election.

However, the issue of "illegal voting" is a hot button for many politicians this fall. For example, in September the House of Representatives passed a bill that would require voters to show valid photo identification in federal elections.

The angst and gnashing of teeth over the report is misplaced. Not only is it a draft report, it's a poor draft. The authors cite interviews with unnamed "experts" ... report results of Lexis-Nexis searches of news reports ... and have a literature review that ignores a body of peer-reviewed research which would have squashed one of the cited fears (voting by mail).

Snip

Oh, and like just about everything having to do with HAVA, it's late. The law was passed in 2002. Its four years later, and they still haven't done this research. But they can throw buckets of money at the states for voting technology without good systems, standards or voter-verified ballots

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8. Mexico: What election fraud is about- Bankers Alliance Holds on to Power

What a great analysis. This lays it out and explains why Corporate Media, the LA Times, the NYT, Reuters, AP etc. have to disparage Obrador or anyone else down there who decries fraud. They were more than happy to cover the Fox election challenge based on election fraud by the decaying ruling party. Fox is a right winger. He sapped off public outrage at a corrupt system. He also put in place the new election system, to a large degree. Take a look because

WE HAVE THE SAME DEAL HERE. WHEN THERE’S FRAUD ON THE RIGHT, LIKE NON STOP FRAUD, IT’S NOT CALLED. WHEN THE LEFT MAKES A POINT OF CALLING IT, WE’RE MARGINALIZED AS ‘CONSNPIRACY THEORISTS.’ NAME ME MORE THAN A VERY FEW MAJOR CRIMES THAT DON’T INVOLVE A CONSPIRACY OR JUST SHUT UP ABOUT THAT CHARGE.

Global Research: Analysis
Divided Mexico: The Bankers’ Alliance Holds on to Power

by John W. Warnock 09.27.06
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=viewArticle&code=WAR20060927&articleId=3348

Email this article to a friend
Print this article

For a brief time the media in Canada and the United States gave some coverage to the July 2 election in Mexico. There was a threat from the social democratic left - the possibility that Andres Manual Lopez Obrador (AMLO) might emerge as the next president. The U.S. government, concerned about the spread of the new socialism across Latin America, settled back when the Mexican establishment carried the day. Nevertheless, the election produced a major shift to the left, angered the poor and disenfranchised, and heightened social divisions and political resistance.

Snip

Election results disputed

On July 2 around 60 percent of eligible voters went to the polls. The results announced by IFE were as follows: Felipe Calderon, candidate for the PAN, 36.38%; Lopez Obrador, 35.34% and Roberto Madrazo, the candidate of the PRI, 21.57%. The margin of victory for Calderon was only 244,000 votes. No major frauds were reported. However, many people went to the polls, found they were not on the voters’ list, were sent to special voting stations, and found there were no ballots. This was especially the case in low income areas where the PRD was strongest.

Going into the election, national polls indicated that AMLO had a lead of around three percent. The two television networks, Televisa and TV Azteca, did extensive exit polls which indicated that AMLO had won, but they did not report the results. A large exit poll by the Instituto de Mercadotecnia y Opinion showed AMLO had won, again not reported by the corporate media. Academics who closely monitored the returns reported by IFE noted that through most of the election night AMLO was ahead by a steady margin of about three percent. Then, with around 70 percent of the vote counted, the reports from the polls changed dramatically, with a five and then ten to one margin going for Calderon up to the end. IFE officials claimed that this discrepancy was due to the fact that rural votes came in last. But Calderon’s support was weakest in the rural areas. Shades of 1988.

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9. Mexico: Is giving voters gifts just before an election wrong? No kidding.

Pardon my cynicism but I’m just wondering – if a political party opens up a warehouse and give away a bunch of stuff to prospective voters, is that election fraud? Is that bribing voters with gifts. I just wondered. Obrador and the PRD charge that this documented event in the state of Tabasco is fraud. The Corporate Media does report it but at the end of this article, after the “Snip.” And there’s no comment. You’d think a fat like this would merit this headline:

IT’S CALLED BUYING VOTERS, ELECTION FRUAD WHEN ONE PARTY GIVES VOTERS GIFTS JUST BEFORE AN ELECTION. NOT THAT PLEASE AND PROCEDED.

LA Times 10.15.06
Mexican Leftists Watching Tabasco Election
Today's gubernatorial vote may determine the political fate of former presidential candidate Lopez Obrador and that of his movement.

http://tinyurl.com/y49wpp

By Sam Enriquez, Times Staff Writer

TACOTALPA, Mexico — If you ask Cesar Ascencio, there isn't much to cheer about in this sun-baked southern town. Jobs are scarce and even shade is hard to come by after trees in the central plaza were chopped down for a renovation that's stalled halfway to nowhere.

"We live in one of the worst pueblos in Mexico," the 72-year-old retiree said. "This place is dead."
!
A couple of hours later, it came to life, if only for a little while, when hundreds of townspeople gathered at the plaza to hear leftist politician Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador promise to bring help to the nation's poor and vengeance on its rich. The crowd roared.

Lopez Obrador, who lost the July 2 presidential election to free-market candidate Felipe Calderon, isn't running for office. But his political future, and that of his fledgling leftist movement, may rest on today's gubernatorial election in Tabasco, Lopez Obrador's home state. He has spent the last several weeks campaigning for Cesar Raul Ojeda, a fellow member of the Democratic Revolution Party, or PRD, who's making an uphill third bid for governor.

Snip Ed.: (to very last two paragraphs where they decide to tell us the fraud, which is huge, of course. “If you’re running for election and you give voters gifts before an election, big gifts to those voters, are you buying votes, just curious?”)

Ojeda supporters posted a video on YouTube.com that shows a warehouse with hundreds of new bikes that they allege the PRI had planned to give to voters. The video, indexed under "mapacheo," slang for vote-buying, shows the warehouse being emptied within minutes by passersby after its discovery by Ojeda campaigners.

A PRI spokesman said voter giveaways — which included cooking pans and food were humanitarian aid. He would not say whether the bicycles were the PRI's.

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10. Mexico: CM Goes After Obrador "half cocked" for Charging Fraud –

Enabling behavior by Reuters. They are quick to note a poll, whose poll we don’t know, that says Obrador’s PRD Party is behind in a state election. There have already been charges that this one is rigged. But Reuters, without mentioning one fact about possible fraud, is pronouncing the end of PRD and Obrador because they’ve challenged election fraud. Reuters did nothing on the very significant and well documented instances of electing fraud in Mexico. They just assume that is spurious and then tag Obrador as responsible for more fraudulent losses. They have reached a new low…but don’t worry; the corporate media can go lower, without any doubt.

Reuters 10.15.06
Mexican state election could deliver blow to left

http://tinyurl.com/y6d9kf

By Monica Medel

VILLAHERMOSA, Mexico (Reuters) - Mexicans voted in a state election on Sunday that could deliver a major blow to the country's leftist opposition leader, who is struggling after losing his bid for the presidency.

Opinion polls predict former presidential hopeful Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's candidate will lose the Tabasco governor's race to the incumbent Institutional Revolutionary Party, or PRI, which ruled Mexico for most of the past century.

A strong defeat for Lopez Obrador's Party of the Democratic Revolution, or PRD, in the balmy southern state of about 2 million people could leave a large question mark over his political future.

Lopez Obrador, a former Indian rights worker who comes from Tabasco, lost the July presidential race by a whisker to conservative Felipe Calderon.

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11. WI: Steve Freeman Gets Good Coverage in Madison WI Paper – GREAT ARTICLE!

WI: Steve Freeman Gets Good Coverage in Madison WI Paper – GREAT ARTICLE!!1

It presents both sides, Freeman’s and some bozo clown political science professors…oops, are my Freudian slips showing…some profs from UWI, plus Steve Slater from Project vote. Kudos to Rob Saleski. This one is worth reading in full.

Capitol Times, Madison WI: 10.11.06
Rob Zaleski: Penn professor concerned about fraud in upcoming election
By Rob Zaleski

http://tinyurl.com/yxg5bv
In the first few days after the 2004 presidential election, Steve Freeman was more perplexed than anything.

How could it be, the University of Pennsylvania professor wondered, that exit polls showing John Kerry would win most of the critical battleground states were wrong and that George W. Bush wound up winning the popular vote by almost 3.5 million?

When he realized no one in the mainstream media was investigating the glaring discrepancy, Freeman, who has a Ph.D. in organizational studies from MIT, decided to conduct his own investigation.
"I just felt that the discrepancy ought to be explained - that people expect these exit polls to be accurate, and there's no good reason they shouldn't be accurate within statistical limits," he told The Capital Times in December 2004.

That was shortly after he had concluded in a controversial paper that the odds of exit polls in the key states of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania all being so far off were roughly 662,000 to 1 - which helped fuel speculation that the election had been rigged.

WAS THE 2004 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION STOLEN. Steven Freeman PhD

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12. MD: MARYLAND CONTINUES ITS VOTER SUPPRESSION EFFORTS

From the Advancement Project and Project vote, a great release you may have missed on Voter Suppression in Maryland. That’s right! And what voters would that be, MINORITY VOTERS…because, at its root, election fraud is a RACE AND CLASS CRIME!!!

http://www.advancementproject.org/
MARYLAND CONTINUES ITS VOTER SUPPRESSION EFFORTS
http://www.advancementproject.org/
Contact: Sabrina Williams, Advancement Project 202/728-9557 or 305/904-3960
Michael Slater, Project Vote 617-282-3666

(Washington DC, October 4, 2006)—Today, Advancement Project and Project Vote sent a letter to Linda Lamone, administrator of the Maryland State Board of Elections. The letter demanded the state discontinued its unlawful practice of refusing to process, and in some cases canceling, voter registration applications where the applicant’s personal identification number could not be verified through the Motor Vehicle Administration (MVA) or Social Security Administration (SSA) databases.
“It seems like Maryland is taking a page from Florida’s voter suppression playbook, which also attempted to use technology to match 2 different databases and ultimately disenfranchised thousands of voters in 2000 because the database wrongly identified them as a felon,” said Andrew Rivera, senior attorney, Advancement Project, a national civil rights organization. “Matching an applicant’s registration number with information in a database is an error prone and unreliable process.”

Voter protection groups have been monitoring Maryland’s voter registration processes, and have learned that election officials have:
* Refused to register voter registration applicants whose personal identification number could not be verified in the MVA or SSA databases and placed such applicants on a “pending” status, in violation of HAVA;
* Sent “pending” applicants a misleading letter stating that their identification number could not be verified, but did not indicate that they could in fact vote in the primary election as long as they produced identification;
* Removed “pending” applicants whose notice letter was returned as undeliverable from Maryland’s statewide voter registration database, which is in direct violation of the NVRA; and
* Required “pending” applicants, whose applications should have been processed, to vote by provisional ballot in violation of HAVA, NVRA and the VRA.

“Maryland has created needless and unlawful barriers to voter registration and voting in the state,” said Colin Pierce, Project Vote spokesperson. “These hurdles are unauthorized, unwise, unjust, and unnecessary, and they are contrary to federal law and the interests of the state in promoting fair elections. We urge the state to take immediate steps to remove these hurdles and protect the rights of eligible persons to participate in our democracy.”

Maryland’s matching requirements have been causing problems for thousands of eligible voters. For example, a citizen registering as “William” might not “match” if his driver’s license is issued under “Bill”; a woman’s married name might not match against an outdated database containing her maiden name. Moreover, common data entry errors cause matches to fail. According to court documents in a recent Washington case, one woman was barred from the rolls when her birthday was mistakenly entered into the system as “1976” instead of “1975”. A federal court in Washington State recently blocked enforcement of a Washington state statute that required the rejection of voter registration applications if the applicant’s ID number could not be verified.

Perhaps even more troubling, while Maryland’s matching procedures not only disenfranchise numerous eligible voters, they may disproportionately impact certain racial and ethnic groups. For example, it is common for individuals of Latino descent to use both maternal and paternal last names or to use one or the other inconsistently. If an individual uses a different version of her name on her application than is used in the database, she will not be registered to vote. In African-American communities, it is common to modify spellings of names traditionally spelled differently in other cultures. In fact, one recent study reported that Jazmine, Jasmin, and Jazmin are all common names in African-American communities. Any of these names could easily be misspelled by a data enterer as Jasmine.
“These sources of error will confront election officials with tens of thousands of bureaucracy-generated mistakes preventing eligible citizens from voting,” continued Pierce. “Even under the best case scenario, disenfranchisement will be widespread. The only question is how many voters will be denied.”

If Maryland does not discontinue its practice of placing applicants whose personal ID number cannot be verified on pending status rather than registering such applicants, it will lead to the inevitable and unlawful disenfranchisement of thousands of eligible voters throughout the state. Voter protection groups are not asking for the state to unilaterally reverse the operation of state regulations, unlawful as they are; rather, they are asking for the state to exercise discretion in implementing them as to minimize their unfair and regressive impact on voter registrants. At a minimum, groups recommend:

* That if a voter whose ID number has not been verified provides ID at the polls on Election Day, the voter should be permitted to vote by regular ballot; and
* The state should notify all applicants, well in advance of Election Day, whose applications are pending because of Maryland’s inability to verify their ID number of their right to present ID at the polls and prior to the canvassing of provisional ballots.

“Maryland is relying on computers to accurately identify eligible voters in a way that exceeds the limits of human error in entering data,” concluded Rivera. “A ‘no match, no vote’ rule will mistakenly reject too many registration applications, too close to the election. If Maryland continues down the current path of requiring an ID match as a precondition to registration, a close examination of the intersection between Maryland’s current approach and federal laws will be in order.”
Nation: Check out PROJECT VOTE – It’s a Great Resource and Organization



http://www.projectvote.org/

[bleever]

13. Know your enemy. Prepare, defend, respond.

Win.

[autorank]

15. Knowledge is power; Denial is Bush;) n/t

[emlev]

14. Wow, Auto! Thansk for all that!

[autorank]

16. Welcome M. emlev n/t

[autorank]

17. Katherind Harris x's 50!!! Centralized Voter Registration - Major Theft

Katherine Harris x's 50!!! Count on it. Huge disruptions. GET THIS TO YOUR DEMOCRAIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE. This is how they've aready "hacked" the election. Just read the article. Voter registration database "cleansing" sponsored by the Help America Vote Act.

http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?id=17616&ch=infotech

Monday, October 16, 2006
Computerized Voter Registration Databases Need a Major Overhaul

Political scientist Thad Hall says federal standards
are required to prevent state electronic registration
databases from disenfranchising people.

By Katherine Bourzac

Voters can get purged from the rolls because there are no federal electronic standards for maintaining registration databases.

What Americans should be most worried about this November, say elections experts like Thad Hall, a political scientist at the University of Utah, is not that someone might hack the Diebold machine they're using to vote--but that their names might disappear from the rolls entirely. According to him, the greatest risks of fraud or disenfranchisement concern voter registration.

As Hall spells out in a report for the IBM Center for Business and Government, voter registration databases are difficult to maintain because there are no electronic standards for creating them. That makes it hard for elections officials to compare their databases with motor-vehicle registries and prison records--let alone other states' elections records.

Earlier this year, the state of Kentucky was sued by its attorney general for attempting to remove 8,000 voters from the rolls--without notifying them--based on a comparison of its database with those in Tennessee and South Carolina, in search of voters registered in multiple states. Hall says that if the state had not been sued, many voters would have been disenfranchised because of database errors.

[truedelphi]

21. Okay Excellent article. But we need specifics to help stop it!

Ever since Kip humphrey posted a similiar thing about the County where he lives in TX, I have been trying to mobilize activists hre in Northern Califronia about the possibility of purges.

Everyone thinks I'm smokin' crack. I've been told it doesn't happen here (Hmm, guess they are
forgettin' the corruption in Bilbray vs Busby...)

So how do we find out if it is happening and where it is happening and most of all WHAT DO WE DO?

[autorank]

22. Well you're not smoking that.

This is a state function. Contact the NAACP or go to their site. Thisi would be the NAACP Legal Defense Fund, the grand father of the voting rights movement we know today. Also contact the Election Defense Alliance. Theiri leadership is partially based out there. http://www.electiondefensealliance.org/

They'll get you headed in the right direction.

Some very good attornies are working on this so do not despair. It's a tough issue since it's pure bureauocracy...they just do what they want but they have to report somewhere. California had problems in the primary with this sort of thing and EDA can tell you about that.

Keep working, we'll all keep working. They can't make us go away!

[Algorem]

18. OH- Cuyahoga County- Latest vote-counters untried

http://www.cleveland.com/election/plaindealer/index.ssf?/base/isele/1160999703112810.xml&coll=2

Out with new, in with newer:Latest vote-counters untried

Monday, October 16, 2006
Joan Mazzolini Plain Dealer Reporter

...To count the votes with technology so new that it has never been used in any election.

"They told us that," said Cuyahoga County Commissioner Jimmy Dimora(Democrat,Cuyahoga Democratic Party Chairman)."I'm concerned. I'm concerned about the whole election system that we've purchased."

Votes cast on electronic machines are recorded on memory cards, and plugging 6,000 cards into machine ports tocount the votes takes a long time. But Diebold Election Systems, which makes the county's voting machines, has created a device that can count votes on six memory cards at a time, in about a minute.

The board will buy 36 of the devices and wire them together to count rapidly...




Another election challenge:large number of absentees

http://www.cleveland.com/election/plaindealer/index.ssf?/base/isele/1160999722112810.xml&coll=2

Monday, October 16, 2006
Joan Mazzolini Plain Dealer Reporter

Quickly counting votes cast ontouch-screen machines is not the only challenge that Cuyahoga County elections officials face Nov. 7.

They also will be tested by the number of absentee ballots they have to count.

In the May primary, misprinted absentee ballots prevented optical scanners from reading votes, resulting in a hand count that delayed results for a week.

About 17,000 absentee ballots were submitted in May. A hundred thousand or more are expected next month as a result of a change in state law...

[In Truth We Trust]

19. In TruthIsAll We Trust. Hand counted paper ballots NOW! K&R

[Kurovski]

20. Kick to the top.

"Forewarned is forearmed." I like the strength in your commentaries here.

Indeed, What large-scale crimes do not entail a conspiracy?

[Melissa G]

23. K&R.. just need one more for 40 and the top bracket! n/t

[Senator]

24. k&r

[freedomfries]

25. K & R

Great work auto! Right on the mark! Pass it on to the DNC!
:yourock: