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Kanary Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-06-04 05:33 PM
Original message
Senate Race Scenarios
Here are some possible election scenarios. These are long term strategic possibilities.
1. Ken Salazar wins the Democratic bid, loses to Schaeffer or Coors. Ken goes back to his AG (Attorney General) job, now branded as a "loser" when he runs for governor in 2006 against perhaps, John Andrews.


2. Salazar wins both the Democratic bid and the state election. He retires from his AG position and Governor Owens appoints a Republican AG. The entire state government is now in the hands of the Republicans. John Andrews, the most dangerous man in Colorado, again tries to redistrict the state and succeeds. Who will defend this in the Supreme Court like Ken Salazar did? Not Ken, he's in Washington, and certainly not the new Republican AG!
Further, in 2006, the Democratic party will have a pretty slim bench to choose from for gubernatorial candidates. Andrew Romonoff will make a great governor in 2010 or 2014, I have no doubts. But he is not ready yet.
So, by electing Ken Salazar to Congress we can almost bet on a Republican legislature, a Republican governor for ten more years, and Republican AG for two to ten more years. We can bet on a redistricting that will lock in Colorado as a Republican state for many more years in Congress.


3. Mike Miles wins the Democratic bid and loses to Coors or Schaeffer: Ken goes back to being AG defending our interests for at least two more years. In 2006 Ken runs for governor, using his admirably strong and pure Colorado heritage to win. Mike goes back to school administering. In 2010, Colorado voters are finally wising up to the special interests of the Republican party. Mike actually gets the support of the state party and wins, helping out the Kerry or Hillary Clinton administrations. So we then have Democrats in the governorship and Senate, but that's six years out and much damage has been done.


4. Mike Miles wins the Democratic bid and wins the Senate race: Ken, of course, resumes his AG role and runs for governor in 2006. We have a Democratic Senator and governor in only two years under this very possible scenario.
Ken Salazar is a wonderful public servant. His deep Colorado roots are perfect for a governorship, but do little for being an effective senator.


Mike Miles' years of high level experiences in counter terrorism, in the diplomatic corps, and as an educator can be put to use best in the Senate. He is an achiever who knows the issues.
Let's think long term and how to use what each man is best suited for.
Some Democrats express concern that Mike "isn't electable." That is true only to the extent that the party doesn't support him. But if you've ever heard him speak, you, too, will understand why more and more people are jumping on the Miles bandwagon
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Hawkeye-X Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-06-04 05:45 PM
Response to Original message
1. Thanks!
Saw Ken Salazar supporters waving their signs today as well as Pete Coors wavers on my way to work. I, of course, flipped the bird at the Coors supporters.

Hawkeye-X
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CO Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-06-04 06:01 PM
Response to Original message
2. Actual Scenario - NONE OF THE ABOVE
Modification of your Scenatio #2:

Salazar wins both the Democratic bid and the state election, Kerry wins the Presedency, and his coattails bring us Democratic majorities in one or both houses of th Colorado Legislature.

Bill Owens appoints a Republican AG, who cannot be very effective because of the Democratic majority in the Legislature.

Only part of the state government is now in the hands of the Republicans.

John Andrews, since he is term-limited, is powerless to do anything about it.

When 2006 rolls around, the Democrats will take back the Governorship - there are many good candidates waiting in the wings.

So, by electing Ken Salazar to the Senate and his brother John to Congress we can almost bet on a Democratic legislature, a Democratic governor for years to come, and Democrats in many more state-wide offices. We can bet on no more redistricting until when it is Constitutionally mandated, and when that redistricting comes, it will lock in Colorado as a Democratic state for many more years in Congress.

* * * * *

Face it, Kanary - your guy is just plain unelectable. Ken Salazar is our best bet.
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eleny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-07-04 12:04 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I lean towards your scenario
Ken will have coattails that give us a chance to put more Dems in the state house. In the future, he will also be a powerful advocate for local Dem candidates.

John Andrews is one of those guys I have a hard time watching on tv - sort of like the shrub. His attitude repulses me.

P.S. The only political signs I saw yesterday between Kipling and Wadsworth along 20th Avbenue were a Mike Miles and a Ken Salazar. Not a single Pete Coors in sight!
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coloradodem2005 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-07-04 11:40 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Come down to my area. The opposite is true there.
No Miles or Salazar signs, just Coors and Schaffer.
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