New QU PA Poll has Kerry Ahead 49-46

[bigpathpaul]

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x11379.xml?ReleaseID=406

September 28, 2004 - Kerry Inches Ahead In See-Saw Pennsylvania Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Most Will Watch Debates, Say They Are Important

Democratic challenger John Kerry has moved ahead by a nose among Pennsylvania likely voters and now holds a 49 - 46 percent lead over President George W. Bush, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This tally includes undecided voters leaning toward a candidate.

President Bush had 49 percent to Sen. Kerry's 48 percent among Pennsylvania likely voters in a September 16 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University.

Most Pennsylvania voters, 60 percent, say they are "very likely" to watch the presidential debates, with 29 percent who say "somewhat likely."

The debates are "very important" in deciding how they will vote, 26 percent say, with 28 percent who say "somewhat important;" 21 percent who say "not too important" and 24 percent who say "not at all important."

[lancdem]

1. A number of polls in PA are showing Kerry inching ahead

after being tied or slightly behind. Excellent!

[WI_DEM]

2. and this is with them over polling republicans

how else can it be? Among Indies they have Kerry up 50-33, among Dems Kerry leads 80-9 and among Republicans Bush leads 81-9--so they must be interviewing more republicans for Kerry to have only a three point lead.

[lancdem]

3. I didn't even see that

A 17-point lead among indys is great. And it's good to see Bush getting just 81 percent of the Repug vote.

Nice catch. I hope Quinnipiac isn't turning into Gallup!