|
We have overlearned the supposed Willie Horton lesson from '88 to an absurd and masochistic degree. The Bush campaign does not give a damn about our strategy. They isolated a simple campaign theme and have pounded it relentlessly for months. We overreact to everything they do and therefore are always on the pathetic defensive. No coherent theme, and far too much of what we put out is based on Bush, not Kerry.
In the last two weeks we attacked Bush's stance on Iraq with little apparent traction. You are dead wrong if you think the GOP isn't thrilled to keep the focus on Iraq and terrorism and not the economy. And Ted Kennedy mentioning a nuclear attack only boosts terrorism as a fear. We are not going to catch Bush in regard to national security so it's a net negative if that issue is promoted.If Kerry focused on the economy it would nudge further AHEAD as the prime voter concern and force Bush to react for a change. Why hasn't Kerry sarcastically pointed out that Bush has not run a single ad touting his economic achievements? That is unprecedented and revealing. As I mentioned atop this thread, the economy already polls ahead the priority list at 35%.
Please, spare me the comparisons to 2002. Those senate races were battled on GOP turf and we had obscenely unrealistic hopes of road wins. Georgia, South Carolina, New Hampshire, Missouri, Texas, Colorado, South Dakota, Tennessee, Arkansas, North Carolina and Minnesota. Those were the states of the competitive races. I was brand new to DU then but warned how red those states were. Only Minnesota trends slightly in our favor.
I agree Kerry needs to be forceful on national security and everything else. He will be on Thursday. Also that a damning commercial should be run regarding Bush and My Pet Goat.
What amazes me is the lousy handicapping that proposes we desperately emulate everything the GOP does. We own the issues and the truth and have won the popular vote by 500,000+ votes in three straight elections. We insist 2000 was a stolen fluke, which it was, yet somehow we ignore that reality when evaluating 2004. Just think if Gore had rightfully won and taken office. The GOP would be reeling after three straight defeats and struggling to mimmick us, understand our electoral secrets. Right now a Bill Clinton would be laser focusing on domestic issues and cruising. Terrorism is at 34% in the polls only because we idiotically allowed Bush to get it there.
|