Democratic voter registration far surpasses GOP in Ohio, Florida

[WilliamPitt]

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/26/politics/campaign/26vote.html?hp

Both Parties See a Big Increase in New Voters
By FORD FESSENDEN

Published: September 26, 2004

A sweeping voter registration campaign in heavily Democratic areas has added tens of thousands of new voters to the rolls in the swing states of Ohio and Florida, a surge that has far exceeded the efforts of Republicans in both states, a review of registration data shows.

The analysis by The New York Times of county-by-county data shows that in Democratic areas of Ohio - primarily low-income and minority neighborhoods - new registrations since January have risen 250 percent over the same period in 2000. In comparison, new registrations have increased just 25 percent in Republican areas. A similar pattern is apparent in Florida: in the strongest Democratic areas, the pace of new registration is 60 percent higher than in 2000, while it has risen just 12 percent in the heaviest Republican areas.

While comparable data could not be obtained for other swing states, similar registration drives have been mounted in them as well, and party officials on both sides say record numbers of new voters are being registered nationwide. This largely hidden but deadly earnest battle is widely believed by campaign professionals and political scientists to be potentially decisive in the presidential election.

"We know it's going on, and it's a very encouraging sign," said Steve Elmendorf, deputy campaign manager for Senator John Kerry, the Democratic presidential nominee. The new voters, Mr. Elmendorf said, "could very much be the difference."

...more...

[AIJ Alom]

1. Yessssssssssssssssssss!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

KEEP IT UP DEMS !!!!!!!!!!!!!

[roseBudd]

3. SW ohio here!

MoveOn, ACT, VoteMob, Young Voter Alliance & Voting is Power are all here.

Join the safe state/swing state travel program and come to Ohio!

http://actforvictory.org/act.php/home/static/volunteer_form

[Dickie Flatt]

2. I just got back from some voter reg in MN. [n/t]

[madmom]

4. went to check my registration in NW Ohio..

yesterday and it was a very busy place. Don't know what every one was doing specifically but still it's encouraging.:thumbsup:

[featherman]

5. Truly our best hope

The same is true for Nevada where DEM registration now exceeds GOP for the first time in history. Ground war registration and turnout, turnout, turnout...

[blm]

15. Same in NC. heard yesterday at HQ that we have over 7000 more new reg.

than the GOP this year.

[deckerd]

45. Will these sort of figures (7000 net) be sufficient?

What was the margin (number of voters) in NC the last time it was close, Anybody know?

[blm]

50. NC isn't exactly the GOP stronghold they like to claim.

There are alot of Dems here, they just need to shake off the GOP bullshitdust every now and then.

[ps1074]

76. no, 7000 won't be enough but that's not the point

The point is that these numbers show Dems are ENERGIZED. And they will vote in record numbers this year.

Yet the pollsters pretend that nothing happens and keep oversample republicans in their polls. Memo to pollsters - SOMETHING IS happening and you will look stupid on Nov 2nd.

[JimmyJazz]

6. Yesterday, Senator Biden (with Senator Kerry) spoke at PA college

campuses encouraging out-of-state students to register to vote in PA as it is still up for grabs! Way to go, Joe.

It is very nail biting here in PA, but I am starting to see a few more Kerry/Edwards signs.

P.S. If you saw that a person planted a Bush sign (no pun intended, really) directly in front of a Kerry/Edwards sign along the road, would you move it?

[ArnoldLayne]

34. Yes I would move it

I would be tempted to take it down. I would move it to the side where you could still see it but behind the Kerry/Edwards sign a little.:evilgrin:

[CitySky]

37. Why not just

stick another K/E right in front of it? O8)

[JimmyJazz]

38. Great idea n/t

[sundancekid]

39. heck yea! the planted bush is an obvious affront (AGAIN) to democracy

[phish420]

63. Absolutely...nt

[iwantmycountryback]

75. I was canvassing for ACT yesterday

In Scranton, PA. We were going to Democrats houses and had some interesting conversations with a few people. One guy we talked to had been the Democratic Party Chairman in the area, or something like that. There was also an old woman nearly in tears about Iraq. One question we asked was if the person knew anybody who had lost their job in the last 3 years and almost all said yes.

[brook]

7. papers here...

in our conservative coastal area are reporting more Democratic registered voters than Repubs also. It's a first - and 'Tis a wonderful thing!

[jerryster]

10. N/S

Brook, what state are you in?

[brook]

31. California.

A distinctly non-liberal part of California.

[jerryster]

8. Great news!

Thanks for the link. Just read the article. It's really encouraging. As the article stated it now becomes critical to get these new voters to actually vote!! How orgasmic would it be to see Bush lose Florida AND Ohio?!

[RevolutionStartsNow]

9. Just as we thought!

This is why the polls, like *, are WRONG WRONG WRONG.

I have been skeptical about record voter turnout this year, only because we *always* think there should be and will be huge turnout and there never really is -- but this year it's going to happen. People are motivated.

And this is even before Michael Moore goes out on tour to register the slackers...

[mvd]

11. Wonderful news!

There's quite a bit to be positive about if you look past the corporate media. :toast:

[robbedvoter]

12. Title sez: "both parites" - 25% vs 250% is BOTH PARTIES?

And will the pollsters ever take in this fact - by asking AT LEAST even numbers of R, Dems ?

[Cocoa]

13. reporting this should be obligatory

every time a poll is reported, there should be a disclaimer that polls don't take this information into account.

Perceptions of who's winning and who's losing are hugely important in voters' psychology.

[berner59]

14. If they bothered to register this year...

why wouldn't they be voting??? OF COURSE they will vote!!! Bet Kerry's campaign knows EVERY state's new dem registered numbers and that's adding to the no panic on Kerry's part...

[Lugnut]

16. According to a local TV news report

On WNEP-TV here in NE PA yesterday voter registrations have gone through the roof causing election officials to work overtime. The reporter said this holds true throughout PA. I'd like to see some numbers about the political affiliation of those registering but they said the data won't be available until the registration period expires in October. I feel very good about this.

[Arugula Latte]

24. May I also say

voter registration amongst Democrats here in Oregon so far has surpassed the Rethugs. We've added 30,000 more than they have. I don't remember the total number of registrations, sorry.

[trumad]

17. In a Nutshell!

In a God Damn Nutshell!

[ochazuke]

18. Power to The People, Baby!

The Chimp's chances of re-election without BOTH Florida and Ohio?...

ZUH-ILCH, ZIPPO, NADA, ZERO, NASHI, NYET, NOPE, NYOOO Waaay, dyuude.

With Ohio but not Florida: VErrrry slim. With Florida but not Ohio: still rather slim.

In the final week or two, this Missourian might just head down to FL for a final push. Let's go! The hurricanes will be over by then, right?

[cmd]

19. Go to the northcoast instead.

No hurricanes and the snow won't get serious until after the election. Ohio needs you.

[West Coast Democrat]

20. It is a fantasy of mine that we defy all predictions for the election...

with huge and unprecedented voter turnout on our side. Can you imagine how the mediwhores would react to an unexpected and crushing defeat of their boy...from out of the blue on election day!?

[bread_and_roses]

53. Yes! Yes! Yes!

This is my secret hope too. I am in NY but we are close to PA border and working there. Also dialing into swing states as part of the coordinated effort.

[deadparrot]

21. Whoohoo! Swing, states, swing!

[Arugula Latte]

22. Best news I've heard in awhile!

Oh, yes, baby!

[Radical Activist]

23. ACORN and Project Vote have

registered tens of thousands of minorities in both states. I know lots of other groups are doing the same. This is what will decide the election.

[roseBudd]

42. It's true we've registered lots of minorities but we have to

keep up the motivation. Many think BushCo is going to steal it. I do most of my canvassing in heavy minority foot traffic areas.

[Nightjock]

25. Kick ASS!

Let's keep this kicked to the top all day so these whiny little-
sky is falling-
I believe everything CNN tells me-
Kerry's doing everything wrong-
-what are we going to do if Bush wins
pansies can think positive for ONCE!

[RevCheesehead]

26. If registration is up like this in Madison and Milwaukee,

then we'll have Wisconsin.

Remember, our Repug. base is rather moderate.
Also note the visible absence of Tommy Thompson.

I'm feeling better every day - I even see Kerry signs in Kewaunee County!!!!!!!!!

[Awsi Dooger]

27. Something similarly positive I'm noticing in Las Vegas

Which is heavily Democratic. Young registration workers are in front of every grocery store and stores like Target, asking people if they are registered to vote. This began in the spring but has increased dramatically recently, to the point the registration workers are there virtually all day long.

I notice they are focusing on the stores in the lower to mid-income areas and not as much the fancy new developments north and west of Las Vegas. Also, when one person or a couple is walking past them the registration workers inquire of everyone, but if it is a stream of people they isolate the Hispanics or younger people to ask if they are registered.

This has got to be a Democratic effort because every time they ask me I'll say something like, "Sure am. And I wish I could vote one million times to evict that asshole from office." Without exception, they have responded in agreement.

[Guaranteed]

28. HELL FUCKING YES!!

This is AWESOME news.

[Blue-Jay]

29. There has been a lot of hard work going on in Ohio.

Don't believe the "likely voter" polls. Pure shit.

[featherman]

30. kick

kick it up

[mcar]

32. This is wonderful news!

Hurricane Jeanne may finally blow us all out to sea, but this really lifts my spirits.

[Longhorn]

33. Thanks, Will! And thanks to all who are helping the voter drives!

This is such encouraging news! :toast:

[shivaji]

35. Kick.....no way Kerry, mr. electable is gonna lose!!!!!!!!!!

[CitySky]

36. This is the Key to this Election

My anecdote:

This weekend I am hosting a large group of out-of-town guests for a wedding; mostly an African-American family from North Carolina plus a couple from New Jersey. Every blessed soul a Dem. :)

We had a conversation about this very thing this morning: they said that people they know who have NEVER voted before -- from youngsters through people in their 40's -- have registered and plan to vote in this election.

The New Jersey husband just became a citizen is proud that this will be his first time voting. I showed the NC kids (both age 12) the cool Benny Boom MoveOn ad and they wish they could vote too.

This year's turnout WILL "Rock the Nation!" Let's win by a LANDSLIDE -- they can't steal a landslide!

[shivaji]

40. More hopeful signs, Kerry will win inspite of the lousy poll numbers

[marlakay]

41. Even the news on tv is starting to report dems are more energized!

On MSNBC horserace show they were just talking about blogs and such and they said that the left is more energized and that is the one thing that might tip the race.

Okay its not much but at least they are starting to finally say what we all know which is our side is mad, fired up, and ready to fight. I think they just might have to start talking about it because when Kerry wins they are all going to look real stupid if they keep projecting the other side will win.

[Capn Sunshine]

43. We're running 5:1 in Ventura County

this place went to Gore, despite huge republican leanings, in 2000 by 1/10th of a percent.

[BootinUp]

44. Say goodbye George

Look at it this way, you'll have a lot more time on the ranch. :)

[crispini]

46. YESSSSSSSSSSSSS!

Went to build signs at the local D hq this AM. Hit some laundromats on the way home. Got one gentleman registered who had NEVER VOTED BEFORE.

This is the way we will win.

[Mattforclark]

47. It's going well in Pennsylvania too

I was in York Pennsylvania today, and we were just racking up on new voters. Anyone who can help, please do. You'll be happy that you did. Only 1 more week left to register voters.

If we can extrapolate to any degree whatsoever to the rest of Pennsylvania, don't worry, PAs 21 electoral votes are blue.

[59millionmorons]

57. York PA

I also am from York PA and by all the stickers I saw at the York Fair, Kerry will do very well here.

[fujiyama]

48. People don't register to vote

NOT to vote on election day.

That means they are angry about the status quo. They are fed up with the way things are going.

God, I want to see Bush lose BOTH Fl and Oh. Fuck the pollsters. Fuck the pundits. Fuck the media. They can have their polls, where republicans outnumber democrats by ridiculous margins.

If this is how things are in these two states, Kerry could manage to lose WI and IA and still win quite handilly.

[Chichiri]

49. Remember that these newly registered voters aren't included in polls

either RV or LV. :D

[SoCalDemocrat]

51. We win with our base

Forget independents.

Win with the base. We get our own guys out to vote, as well as register as many new voters as we can in swing states. That is how we will win this election in November.

[farmbo]

52. The latest Ohio Poll cratered because of the 18 to 29 year olds!

http://www.ipr.uc.edu/PDF/OhioPoll/Issues_and%20Images_092404.pdf

They showed Bush in the lead as of Sept 20th but had to place a BIG ASSED FOOTNOTE by this demographic... "Not sufficient responses".

And Kerry's leading Bush 65% to 29% in this age group.

It's over...we'll take Ohio!

(PS...F*&^%in Nader had 7%!) :mad:

[mconvente]

54. This is AWESOME news!!!

I'm so encouraged by this. We gotta hold our own during the debates and we will be fine! This is so encouraging guys. Keep it up!

[oasis]

61. Interesting and uplifting.

:bounce:

[TruthIsAll]

55. Good news, but its just as easy to cancel 100,000 as it is to

cancel 1,000 in Cyberspace.

Delete works just the same.

Take it from a numbers guy.

[ArnoldLayne]

56. kick

:kick:

[Demi_Babe]

58. same thing is happening in North Carolina

I registered 4 new democrats just today! :-)

[ArnoldLayne]

59. kick

:kick:

[Gloria]

60. Voter rolls reach record high (amazing numbers here in NM)

As posted yesterday in the NM forum.....



Voter rolls reach record high (amazing numbers here in NM)

http://www.lcsun-news.com/artman/publish/article_9490.s...


Voter rolls reach record high
By Steve Ramirez
Sep 24, 2004, 07:30 am

The number of registered voters in New Mexico has surpassed 1 million, a record-setting mark, according to a state elections official.

“We’ve passed the million mark for the first time ever in the state’s history,” Denise Lamb, director of the New Mexico Bureau of Elections said Thursday. “It’s a little mind-boggling when you consider that according to last U.S. census figures there were about 1.4 million people in New Mexico that are eligible to register.”

According to the 2000 U.S. census, New Mexico’s population was 1,819,046.

(snip)

Lamb said county clerks throughout the state have been especially busy in recent days processing all of the new voter registrations.
“We’ve been busy, very busy,” said Doña Ana County Clerk Rita Torres. “We’re getting people coming in here in waves. We’ll get a rush of people, and then it calms down, and then it starts up again.”


MORE

[jerryster]

70. N/S

Couldn't access the link. Can you help?

[phish420]

62. Sweet! nt

[madmax]

64. Ground war

:kick:

[autorank]

65. Your stuff is so good you deserve combat pay!!! n/t

[WilliamPitt]

66. .

[CroixRoussienne]

67. GOTV

Motivated Dems - the numbers are on our side.

[Nightjock]

68. Kick!

[Cha]

69. This has the gop reving up their

arsenal of Nasty Tricks.. Trying to Force Back the oncoming Tide.

" H.L. Mencken: "No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people." "Your media is killing you"

[oasis]

71. kick

[AP]

72. For DU'ers, most important part of this article is in my sig line.

It's now OUR duty and our obligation as American citizens to go out an phone bank and precinct walk.

[Katha]

73. This is why we're going to win in November!

These newly registered Dems are going to take Kerry all the way to the White House. Mark my words.

[LisaL]

74. If people who never voted before are registering, it's

because they intend to vote. And those people would not be considered likely voters in any polls. It's very good news.

[Nightjock]

77. Everytime I see

another post of my fellow Kerry supporters worrying about an upcoming poll I am going to find this and kick it to the top.

Shut up about the polls. They are pure shit!!!!!!!!

[GOPBasher]

78. That is so awesome!

These people are not being counted in the "likely voter" polls; remember that! :-)

[RobertDevereaux]

79. Link to my posting about a Colorado county...

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x904922

[roseBudd]

80. SW Ohio dems contact me.

Need you bad.