Economist Magazine Poll: Kerry 46 Bush 45

[Tony_FLADEM]

<http://economist.com/media/pdf/YouGovL.pdf>

[papau]

1. Registered Voters - wonder if they force to average party affiliation?

Gallup refuses to do so - and allows 50% more GOP than Dem into the final numbers.

I like Zogby's forcing the sample to represent the actual electorate.

[sonicx]

2. Despite the bullshit stories in the media...

Kerry's dominating women and young voters.

[Mojambo]

6. Yep.

Political experts expect increase in young voters
http://www.showmenews.com/2004/Sep/20040912News031.asp

"Young people" are "energized in numbers that we haven’t seen in our entire history,"

An MTV poll conducted last month showed 62 percent of 18- to 24-year-olds indicated they would definitely vote this November, up from 41 percent from 2000 and up from the previous high of 57 percent in 1992...


Poll Gives Kerry Big Lead Among Voters Under 30
http://www.mtv.com/chooseorlose/headlines/news.jhtml?id=1491234

Overall, Kerry has a substantial lead among voters under thirty, a reversal of the Bush's nine-point advantage among all registered voters. In a head-to-head contest, Kerry is leading Bush by 10 points (51-41)


The more the youngins vote, the better for Kerry. Clearly!

[sonicx]

9. that mtv poll is off, though

the with-nader poll has kerry up by only 6. yeah right. kerry's gonna get 18-29 by 15% or more (20% in 18-24).

[faithnotgreed]

3. thanks tony. i really enjoy looking at the economist polls internals

though of course the absolute key of keys is our turnout. if we turn out an energized, diverse group that we have supporting kerry, no way we can lose.

[faithnotgreed]

7. bush #s now 38% satisfied/58 dissatisfied. was 41/55 from last poll

which was taken 9/13-15

approval is 43% and disapproval is 53%
was 45/51 from last poll

hope people are getting this from the iraqi situation. its been awful as we know, but many americans havent been told of this until recently

someone said aaron brown tonight will talk mainly about iraq. as long as its the truth it will be important information

[EST]

4. This is more like what I was actually reading

the last three months. Big John got about a four point bounce w/DNC tapered back to even in four weeks. Bush got a one point bounce that is gone, already.
Much more rational.

[sonicx]

5. HEY! shrub approval is at 42%

i just noticed that. why are people who disapprove going to vote for him?

[faithnotgreed]

8. i thought it said 43%. oh well low 40s is a good start

[sonicx]

10. yeah, if we had an actual news media, it would be in the 20s. nt

[sonicx]

11. also interesting...most people are voting for Kerry but...

most people think bush will win. thanks media!

[DaveinMD]

12. Dems

are always pessimistic about elections because we think Bush will steal it.

[sonicx]

13. bush re-selection IS scary and this is only area i wish...

we acted like republicans. they think god put bush to the white house. :eyes: