Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

An idea to lessen the red state - blue state divide

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
CTLawGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-24-09 08:49 AM
Original message
An idea to lessen the red state - blue state divide
Edited on Sat Oct-24-09 08:54 AM by CTLawGuy
electoral votes should be awarded proportionally, like delegates are in the democratic primary (15% threshold), rather than the current winner take all system. The problem with the winner take all system is that it effectively forces everyone in the state to vote for one candidate even though a significant minority in the state might want the other candidate. I think a proportional system would more accurately reflect the mood of the state.

It would have an added benefit: preventing future Florida 2000's. Under a winner take all system, a few hundred FL votes was the difference between a candidate getting 27 votes and getting 0. Under a proportional system, the stakes would be a lot lower - who would get 14 vs. 13 votes?

Looking at the 2008 election, here's how the votes would have broken down in some "red" states under a proportional system

State POP VOTE % CURRENT EV PROPROTIONAL EV

TX M 55% O 43% : M 34; O 0 : M 19; O 15

OK M 66% O 34% : M 7 ; O 0 : M 5 ; O 2

UT M 62% O 34% : M 5 ; O 0 : M 3 ; O 2

KY M 57% O 41% : M 8 ; O 0 : M 5 ; O 3

(Here's how I got to the Proportional EV total using the Dem primary delegate calculations: (1) find the state election results. (2) Add up all the votes for any candidate who got over 15% of the vote, known as a "qualifying candidate." This is the total "qualifying vote." (3) For each qualifying candidate, divide his or her votes by the qualifying vote and get that candidate's "adjusted percentage." The total adjusted percentage for all qualifying candidates should equal 100%. (4) Take each qualifying candidate's adjusted percentage and multiply it by the number of available EVs. You will get an "integer" (i.e. "4" or "7") and a "remainder"(i.e. ".45346" or ".1123"). (5) award each qualifying candidate the number of EVs equal to the integer. There should be one EV remaining. (6) Award the last EV to the qualifying candidate with the largest remainder.)

The only realistic way to implement this is to have a national compact whereby no state will implement the proportional system until all states agree to it. Unlike a dem primary, the general election is a state function and a state has the constitutional power to award its votes however it wants. The problem is, if one or a few states do this, and the others don't, it will hurt one of the parties. For Example:

All else being equal, if only CA implemented this, Obama would have lost and McCain would have gained 21 EVs. It would not have cost Obama the election but it would have put a dent in his winnings.

CA O 61%; M 37% : O 55; M 0 : O 34; M 21

It is clear that in a closer elecion, this could be fatal. So it would need to be done on some kind of nationwide basis.

I would hope my red state DU friends would agree with a system like this. I think it would be fairer and more representative :)
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Sub Atomic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-24-09 09:08 AM
Response to Original message
1. The Republicans have been trying to do this for years to California.
Your parroting their meme is not going to win you over any friends on this site.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-24-09 01:24 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. I thought Republicans were attempting to give all EVs to popular vote winner
This is distinctly different and it essentially ignores the fake national "popular vote"

The results of a nation wide proportionally allocation of EVs is one of the fairest measure of the "people's will". It takes into account a variety of factors that may suppress/enhance voter turnout regionally, and equalizes the measure to each state nationwide.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
WonderGrunion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-24-09 01:53 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Only two states currently allow this, Maine and Nebraska.
Maine has never split its' votes, Nebraska has once giving President Obama an electoral vote in an otherwise red state. Just because Repukes have been trying to target California with this doesn't make it a bad idea if applied everywhere.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
CTLawGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-24-09 07:53 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. well those are slightly different
instead of treating the state as winner take all, they have each district winner take all plus a state winner take all from 2 of the EVs.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
CTLawGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-24-09 07:51 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. with all due respect
I don't need to "win friends" on this site. Who are you to say that anyway?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
iamjoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-24-09 09:19 AM
Response to Original message
2. Another Benefit to This
The way I see it is that this could encourage extra party candidates and give them more of a chance. You bring up the 2000 election - the current vote counts have insured Gore's victory, but Nader might actually have gotten more votes as progressives who considered Gore too moderate would have felt more comfortable voting for the Green Party candidate.

Of course, the real way to help with that would be a instant run off process.

But, when they do the proportion would it be by Congressional District? That's how Florida allocates Convention delegates in the primary. That could really lead to some skewed results (although no worse than winner take all).
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Sun May 05th 2024, 03:55 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC