VA-Gov: Deeds Rebounds, But Still Trails

[ccharles000]

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/5517/vagov-deeds-rebounds-but-still-trails

PPP (pdf) (8/28-31, likely voters, 7/31-8/3 in parens):

Creigh Deeds (D): 42 (37)
Bob McDonnell (R): 49 (51)
(MoE: ±4%)

State Sen. Creigh Deeds still is in a hole against AG Bob McDonnell in the Virginia Governor's race, but he's cut a 14 point gap to 7 in less than a month. It's also worth noting that the Washington Post broke Thesis-gate in the middle of the sample period, so only one day of polling reflects this provocative information.

While McDonell's high favorables are starting to erode a bit (they're down to 53/31, from 54/26 last month), PPP points to a big problem for Deeds trying to get over the top: he still trails badly among independents 60-29. The better performance for Deeds seems to be Dems finally getting more interested in the race and intending to vote, helping them fall within the LV screen (although the sample is still a McCain +4 sample, down from McCain +11 last month).

Down the ballot, Republicans lead the two other races: incumbent Bill Bolling over Jody Wagner in the Lt. Governor race, 46-40, and crazy state Sen. Ken Cuccinelli over state Del. Steve Shannon in the AG race, 48-35.

[GrantDem]

1. Great news...