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so if the recession is over, let's not spend the rest of it."
- This would repeat the mistake of FDR who suddenly cut spending in 1937, which killed the momentum of the recovery. The 2009-2010 fiscal year has just begun, and notwithstanding the approval of the stimulus in February 2009, most state and local governments simply cannot revise and implement such spending at the tail end of their fiscal year. Now, these same governments are now relying on that money in passing their 2009-10 budgets, and you want to kill the program. This will wrech havoc on state and local budgets, particularly California, which would be in full default but for the stimulus. You think it's bad now.
Why do you think even AZ's new Republican governor freaked out when the Obama administration floated the idea of AZ refusing its stimulus alotment. State and local governments are hurting, and their balance sheets for 2009-10 would be much, much worse if the stimulus is rescinded, because suddenlty, those anticipated funds in the budgets will not materialize. Its like pulling the rug from underneath state and local government, which is now relying on the stimulus. If anything, Paul Krugman has the better of the argument that California shows that the stimulus should be larger, not rescinded, because California's problems will slow the recovery.
The economy is starting to recover, but we are near 10% unemployment, and unemployment is a lagging indicator. Companies will be reluctant to hire due to the severity of the recession, thus the infrastructure projects that come on line this fiscal year 2009-10 are vital to reducing unemployment.
(On ABC This Week)
If this is true, why not spend more of the stimulus money to help the jobless and the ones who lost their health insurance? Why not send some of it to the states that cannot keep up with unemployment payments and with Medicaid? Why not send some of it to hospitals that are forced to lay off workers because fewer people can pay for their services?
- Again, the money is being spent and has been committed for the 2009-2010 fiscal year. See above. Also, remember Mark Sanford? The stimulus specifically does include unemployment benefit funds. This is what Mark Sanford was complaining about.
Why not send some of it to California so that it can re open its state parks and help generate more tourism revenue?
- California, $8 million has already been spent, and up to $25 million is potentially available. If you look at the recently passed California budget, it relies on the stimulus funds. Sure, California could use more money, but it is a mistake to assume that California does not depend on the stimulus package. Finally, the vast majority of California state parks remain open under the new California budget.
Why not give a $1,000 credit to anyone buying a new car? A lot better than simply pump money into the car makers if no one is buying.
- The stimulus includes a $4,500 cash for clunkers program. So, the President is way ahead of you on this idea.
Why not pump money into organizations that purchase foreclosed homes and then sell or rent to people, thus preventing entire neighborhoods from becoming a blight with board-up houses?
- The TARP program is currently funding foreclosure assistance programs even for mortgages in excess of home value up to a certain point. Sure, you could use stumulus money, but then it would not be stimulus, and then what about the TARP funds? Its robbing Peter to pay Paul to use stimulus money instead of TARP money to fund mortgage assistance.
Also, the fact that existing home sales are now going up, and the fact that mortgage rates remain low, show that President's actions in concert with the Fed are working. You can get a 15 year fixed rate mortgage for as low as 4.5 %. The programs are starting to work as the statistics show. So, I would focus on job creation, because if someone is unemploymed, no amount of mortgage assistance is going to help them. Thus, continue with infrastructure projects.
What am I missing?
- See above.
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