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Arlen Specter is 79 years old. He is also a Cancer surviver. If it was me, I would have gladly faded away to enjoy the last few years of my life in retirement, but then again I am not burdened with a politically enhanced ego (sure I had the bug and ran for office a few times but that was oh so ten years ago).
So Arlen wants to hold on as long as he can. Odds are that he will not live out his term, I could be wrong, but actuarily speaking, Sen Specter is skating on thin ice.
Now we all know, and I am sure VP Biden and Pres Obama know as well, that Tooney would kick Arlen from here to political eternity in the GOP primary. And since this general election takes place in an "off year", it's really all about getting your people to the polls, Tooney could very win that seat. Not likely, but there is a greater chance if Specter is out of the picture.
Now Specter is the odds on favorite to win in November. He does, after all, have name recognition to die for. Anyway, he wins, the Dem's take a seat and even if Arlen is forced to resign due to health or perhaps dies during his term, the appointment would go to a democrat. Even if Randell is not occupying the Governors office when that happens, the Governor, even if a republican, would be under intense pressure to appoint another democrat.
All this verbiage amounts to this; never take anything at face value when it comes to politics. There are always scenarios and what ifs that go into every decision. I know this since I was employed by the democratic party here in Cleveland Ohio and literally lived, ate and slept politics for over ten years. And before that, I worked for the Ohio House Democratic Caucus. It's how they roll.
So think outside the box and think about political ramifications and potential what ifs when ever something like this Switcheroo happens. And remember, never sell short the imaginations of political strategists.
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