Field Poll (2/20-3/1, registered voters):
Barbara Boxer (D-inc): 54
Arnold Schwarzenegger (R): 30
Barbara Boxer (D-inc): 55
Carly Fiorina (R): 25
(MoE: ±3.6%)
Arnold Schwarzenegger (R): 31
Carly Fiorina (R): 24
Chuck DeVore (R): 9
Carly Fiorina (R): 31
Chuck DeVore (R): 19
(MoE: ±5.8%)
The bad news for Barbara Boxer is that she's not terribly popular; only 42% of Californians are inclined to re-elect her, while 43% are inclined not to. The good news is, there's nobody that Californians are inclined to like better. Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has been considered the GOP's best bet in this seat (despite his not having publicly expressed any interest in the race), but the new Field Poll shows him getting demolished. This is a much bigger margin than the R2K poll from two months ago that gave Boxer a 9-point edge, but that's before the state-level budget crisis took him down (and, to be fair, just about every governor) a few pegs.
Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina doesn't fare any better, and while her prognosis is supposedly good after breast cancer surgery last week, she's hardly a lock for the race either. The GOP may be left with little-known and little-liked state assemblyman Chuck DeVore. Either way, Boxer doesn't seem to be facing much danger any more.
http://www.swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=4551