(R)asmussen Georgia Senate Poll: Chambliss 50 %(+2), Martin 46%(+3)

[Hope And Change]

Election 2008: Georgia Senate

Chambliss Ahead by Four in Georgia Run-off Race

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Republican incumbent Saxby Chambliss holds a four-point lead over Democratic challenger Jim Martin in Georgia’s closely-watched Senate runoff race, according to the first Rasmussen Reports survey in the state since Election Day.

Chambliss leads 50% to 46%, with the vote scheduled for December 2. Four percent (4%) are undecided. However, runoff elections typically have lower voter turnout than general elections and can be impacted in either direction by organized get-out-the-vote efforts.

In Georgia, although Chambliss defeated Martin on Election Day, with a third-party candidate in the race, he failed to capture over 50 percent of the vote. By state law, that triggered a runoff election. Rasmussen Reports final http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/georgia/georgia_senate_chambliss_48_martin_43">pre-election poll showed Chambliss ahead, but narrowly below 50%.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Georgia voters say they are certain to cast their ballots in the runoff. Of this group, 51% favor Chambliss, 46% are for Martin, and three percent (3%) remain undecided.

The Georgia Senate race could determine whether Democrats end up with a 60-seat filibuster-proof majority in the Senate. The party emerged from Election Day with 57 seats, two races too-close-to-call, and the Georgia runoff undecided. Since then, it appears that the Democrats have defeated GOP Senator Ted Stevens in Alaska, so Democrats are two seats away from the magic number of 60. Additionally, Republican incumbent Senator Norm Coleman has just over a 200-vote lead over Democrat Al Franken in Minnesota where a recount is now taking place. If Franken emerges victorious from the recount, that would give the Democrats 59 seats.


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/georgia/election_2008_georgia_senate">Full article here

[Drunken Irishman]

1. Sadly, I still think Chambliss wins.

But by about the margin McCain did there.

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

3. I'm inclined to agree.

I think the right will be a bit more energized to keep us away from 60 seats than we will be in getting it.

[jpak]

4. Obama needs to get down there and GOTV

n/t

[changemonger]

5. No, he should stay away.

I think Martin will lose no matter what.

Obama made it close because of the black-voters' turnout, but Georgia is still full of right-wing nuts.

[Mike Daniels]

15. Yep. If he campaigns and Martin loses Obama's momentum drops a few notches

as it shows the limit of his influence.

[WI_DEM]

7. Nope, he should stay out of it personally

[davidpdx]

13. I agree he should stay out of it and stay above the fray

but that doesn't mean he couldn't use the email addresses, phone numbers and volunteer lists to try to help him.

My prediction is Franken will pull out the race in Minnesota, but Martin will lose a close race in Georgia. That will prevent the 60 vote filibuster proof Senate.

[SuperTrouper]

WTF does this mean:

"Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Georgia voters say they are certain to cast their ballots in the runoff. Of this group, 51% favor Chambliss, 46% are for Martin, and three percent (3%) remain undecided" If they are certain, why the 3% are undecided?

[MadBadger]

6. They are certain they will vote, just have chosen who yet.

[BootinUp]

2. 88% ? Sounds like both sides are fairly energized. nt

[Clio the Leo]

8. YAY! A poll!!!! Missed those! NT

[Bread and Circus]

9. NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO POLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLS!!!!

Argh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

[Sebass1271]

10. I think Obama's people, not Obama himself but his

people, Axelrod, volunteers from other states shoul run this senate seat like if it was the general election. If we win this seat we can kiss Lieberman good bye..

Any georgians in the house?

[bdamomma]

11. does Martin need more donations.

can someone add a link for me.

[Hope And Change]

12. Click on the link below if you want to donate to Martin...

http://www.actblue.com/page/changetogeorgia?refcode=splash

[fujiyama]

14. This will be a very rough race for Dems

I was always doubtful it could really be done. The state overall has been getting quite difficult for Dems on a statewide level.

I think many were energized by Obama and that impacted turnout among African Americans especially. I'm sure most will show up, but not with quite the same excitement.

I'm hopeful about Franken though. It will be very close...but I'm hoping he'll eek out a victory. Awesome news about Begich though.