Rasmussen Daily Tracker (States) (GOOD NEWS!!!)

[DarthDem]

Can't link . . . .

FL tied, 47-47
MI, K/E, 48-42
OH, K/E, 49-46
PA, K/E, 48-46

NC, B/C, 55-40 (heh)

Sure makes a lot more sense than these ridiculous network polls.

[kstewart33]

1. I wish I knew more about Rasmussen's sampling model

It looks like his may favor Dems in his sampling. I surely hope not. But his polling has been a statistical outlier and I'd sure like to know why.

[DarthDem]

9. Why?

His methodology is 800 LVs. 5% MoE is high, but the sample size is fairly good.

[tritsofme]

2. Rasmussen has to prove himself in this election

to be looked at as a credible pollster, especially after his 8 point lead for bush bonanza on the day before the election in 2000.

[demanddimmer]

4. How Qucikly We Forget...

But YOU Didn't...Rassmussen is swimming against the tide again...we need credible pollsters SOMEWHERE in this stupid country that will give us a truly accurate picture of who's ahead in this horserace!

[DarthDem]

5. Well . . .

. . . as is pointed out below, these polls are in line with anecdotal evidence. I mean, there's got to be a common sense factor in here. Do you really believe that Kerry suddenly plunged to 11% down in Ohio - - or 7% down nationally? Ridiculous - - and with all the crap swirling around * today and presumably ths weekend, I don't think that trend, if it exists, is likely to continue.

[dolstein]

16. "Anecdotal evidence" is an oxymoron

just like compassionate conservative.

[DarthDem]

17. Nope

It just means that you're generalizing from a data point.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anecdotal_evidence

[Misunderestimator]

15. Swimming against the tide? LOL and... Welcome to DU

[wurzel]

3. Anecdotal evidence supports your polls.

[skooooo]

6. The first numbers are Kerry Edwards??

Is that right? It's not clear from your post...

Edit: Nevermind, I get it. Why do these differ so much from what CNN says?

[NewYorkerfromMass]

7. Yes. Looks like NC is a loss

unless something miraculous happens.

[kamerson]

11. Don't give up in NC!!!

I'm not sure about the accuracy of those polls #s for NC. I HOPE
that they are incorrect since I reside here. Have faith! Last August when Dems met for John Kerry Campaign the host had to schedule
two separate times because of the # of people. We are VERY active here in Wilmington with voter registration and gearing up for
volunteer phone banking and canvassing! Don't break my faith!

[DarthDem]

12. Not Giving Up

There's no way that Kerry is down 15 points there. That said, it's a hard sell to all those folks in farm country.

[Lex]

13. No, NC's not a loss.

It'll take more than one bad poll in early Sept. to declare NC a loss, I would think.

[DarthDem]

8. Yeah

Sorry, I just decided to post them that way for some reason.

Does CNN have daily tracking for these states?

[DarthDem]

10. kick

bump

[DarthDem]

14. Kick again

This is a heaping pile of GOOD NEWS, folks . . . .