Forget the popular vote polls, how are we doing in EC projections

[Sandpiper]

I want Kerry to win the popular vote, but winning the popular vote didn't get us the White House last time.

How is Kerry/Edwards looking in Electoral College projections?

[MsTryska]

1. I had heard somewhere

that Zogby had Kerry in a pretty major lead as far as the electoral college goes.

[muriel_volestrangler]

2. Several sites exist

Electoral Vote (based purely on latest state polls) Kerry 243 Bush 254 (other states tied)
Federal Review (right wing, own algorithm of state polls and national) Bush 289 Kerry 249
Election Projection (right wing, own algorithm) Bush 288 Kerry 250

[boneygrey]

5. Good links

Federal Review is certainly right wing but it looks like the left post there some. The methodology is interesting. Looks like a lot of thought was put in to it. I'll be curious to see how accurate these sites are at election time.

[swag]

3. I like Chris Bowers' site myself. The race is extremely tight.

http://www.mydd.com/outlook/president

for counterbalance:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

because it's fun (truthisall):

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/

in a similar vein, Sam Wang's site:

http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html

[MsTryska]

4. man..looking at that first link....

god bless jimmy carter, but he really did screw it up for dems in the south didn't he?