538.com drops McInsane's chances of victory to its lowest ever: 1.9%

[Yukari Yakumo]

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/todays-polls-113-pm-edition.html

Obama is predicted to carry all of the Kerry and Gore states, leaving him a mere 6 EV shy of a win, 5 EV shy of a tie. Thus Obama would need only one of the following: Colorado, Virginia, Nevada, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Missouri and Indiana.
Meanwhile, in order for Mc:nuke: to win, he would need ALL of them. In short, that is an all but impossible feat for him to perform.

Any "Bradley effect", if it exists, is likely to be offset by both the overlooked new voters and the cellphone voters, both of whom heavily favor Obama.

[Starbucks Anarchist]

1. I was just about to post this.

:D

[Whalestoe]

2. K&R

[opihimoimoi]

3. That much?

[ccharles000]

4. wonderful

[LiberalinNC]

5. I am so nervous!!! Thanks for sharing, it made me feel a little better.

I'm extremely nervous about tomorrow. My husband is convinced it will be Obama, but I don't trust the repugs and their "tricks".

[WallStreetNobody]

6. Can't wait until it drops to ZERO

[Phoonzang]

7. What's Nate going to do after this election anyway?

He'll have a two year downtime.

[GreenPartyVoter]

8. Sports?

[Catch22Dem]

9. Back to baseball

My guess

[RL3AO]

11. Hes joked about turning into a porn site

:evilgrin:

[pizoxuat]

16. Maybe write a book about polling?

I'd like to see something comprehensive from him on how the polling system works and the flaws with the different pollsters.

[timb77]

10. Looks like

McCain has him right where he wants him.

1.9 is better then 0.

"So your saying theres a chance."

[Rocknrule]

12. Tomorrow McCain will say

"What was that 'one in a million' talk?"

[progressivebydesign]

13. Gosh.. and Liz "McCain" Sidoti of AP's analysis says that it could turn out like 2000!

Yep. She went there. Said it's very possible Obama could win the popular vote and lose the electoral college because of "polls tightening in McCain's favor in Swing States".

The AP is outdoing themselves this year (as is Yahoo which highlights these "analysis" pieces by reporters, not analysts. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081103/ap_on_el_pr/split_decision

[Faygo Kid]

15. She's a tool. The Judith Miller of AP.

Try integrity sometime, Liz.

[Faygo Kid]

14. I think McCain and Cindy have a bright future on QVC.

I thought they were very effective. There's a future there for them.