Missouri and Indiana, which way are they gonna go?

[Hippo_Tron]

I'm looking at the closest states right now and I'm gonna say that Florida and North Carolina lean toward Obama whereas Arizona, Montana, and North Dakota lean toward McCain. My logic is based on the fact that while they are statistically very close the last several polls in North Carolina and Florida have all had Obama up or been tied and the North Dakota, Montana, and Arizona polls still show McCain leading even though they are tight. Granted all of these states are still too close to call and could go either way, but those are just my predictions.

But Missouri and Indiana are just too damn close to tell anything. Anybody have any insight on either of these states?

[Zynx]

1. Missouri will be a midnight call for Obama.

Indiana, fuck I don't know. I say McCain takes it narrowly.

[Kittycat]

2. I say Indy Obama, Missouri, McCain by a hair.

[progressiveforever]

16. I'll take that, but I'd guess the opposite.

If Obama gets Indiana--which is lightning fast at votecounting, it will be an Obama landlide.

[Indiana_Dem]

3. I think it will depend all on the ground campaign here. And it's sounding like a good thing.

The ground game and hope and a prayer. We are that close, I guarantee.

[SuperTrouper]

5. Both will go for Obama by 11 PM

[Cats Against Frist]

4. Indiana just blows me away

I had written it off a long time ago. I lived there for 2 years and keep hearing it has one of the largest KKK pops in the nation. My home state is Illinois, and I've always had a fondness for Indy. If it turned blue this year, it'd be like welcoming a little brother home. From deep space. From deep space with face-eating rats. Rats with anal herpes.

[camera obscura]

6. MO for Obama, IN for McCain in a squeaker

I think the general election will be called fairly early for Obama, but it'll take longer to get the exact percentage out of IN, as it looks really close

[Alexander]

7. If turnout remains as high as it is, Obama could take every swing state.

Including Arizona.

[Cats Against Frist]

8. I guess I forgot to mention Missouri, too, having the same proximity

Actually, closer -- I'm from an I-70 bedroom community. Missouri has a lot of lakes and rivers and trees. I think of it as more of a tree place. I like Missouri and I love the city Museum in St. Louis. Come to think of it, I'd be as proud to have "Missour-ah" come home, too. Come home li'l sis.

[Eric J in MN]

9. Probably Obama gets Missouri and McCain gets Indiana...

...But if Obama gets both, all the better.

I won't know until it's announced on Tuesday night.

[chat_noir]

10. Missouri is going to elect a Democrat for governor and secretary of state

They've had enough of Republicans thanks to Gov.Matt Blunt. It would be sweet if Daddy Roy Blunt would get kicked out, but that's probably not going to happen.

[mucifer]

11. If Indy goes blue it will be because of close proximity to IL. Lots of volunteers coming

across the boarder and it's been easier for Obama to visit because it is so close to Hyde Park, Chicago.

[brianna69]

12. They are tied in the polls in both

It will come down to the ground game on tuesday.

[totodeinhere]

13. I think we'll win one and lose one of those.

But I am still sticking with my prediction that Obama will will by a larger margin than a lot of people think.

[BidenVP08]

14. MO going Blue

Based on what I've seen in SW MO I think Obama takes the state. I live in a small farm town(population around 900)in the extreme red area of SW MO and I've never seen anything like it. Obama signs popping up all over town and even one business on Main St is plastered in Obama posters and signs. Obama might not win counties like mine but he has closed the gap enough to ride St. Louis, KC, and Columbia into the White House IMO.

[MadHound]

15. Missouri is going to go blue

Not only will St. Louis and KC proper go for Obama, but the surrounding burbs will also go overwhelmingly for Obama(which went for Bush in '04). That means that the I-70 corner, St. Louis, Greater St. Louis, Columbia and KC and greater KC is solid blue. That's more than enough to balance out South Missouri, Ashcroft country, Springfield, Joplin, Cape Giradeau. I actually think that the polls are getting this one wrong, since Jay Nixon is leading Hulshoff for governor by double digits. Furthermore, we've got a Democratic SoS, Robin Carnahan, who will keep the vote honest. I think that Obama will win here by at least four points, possibly more.