Poor Freepers are believing McCain's pollster that there will only be 3-5% more Dems. than Repubs.

[jenmito]

This article also explains the latest differing polls:

"McCain Camp Thinks Electorate Will Be 3 to 5 Percent More Democrat Than Republican"

<snip>
Now in the modern year, '84 on, every cycle, the worst possible cycle, 1992, among people who went to vote, they were by five points Democrat. So what we're seeing in that last week or ten days is intensity increasing with some of the core Republican coalition, so that they are finally kicking in and going up, and as that happens we're seeing a closing in party identification. And I believe that party ID on election day in the exit polls, and then of course incorporate early voters is going to be in that kind of historic norm of minus three to minus five. And when that happens, John McCain and our stuff always run ah ead of party ID. And so this kind of rising intensity with our coalition, the consolidating of party identification is helping create a very, very close result.

"Now, as you all look at multiple polls, we had a strange day yesterday as CBS, big Obama lead, FOX race closing. Well yeah, CBS has got minus eight on party ID. FOX has got two points. Or my friend Andy Kohut at Pew has got a fifteen point party identification spread. Well yeah that was 1976 after Watergate, so as you look at polls the most important thing to look at is party, and the most important thing to look at is twenty to thirty years of history in this country about the composition of the electorate.

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NmZmNmJkYzZlMTE4OTc5Nzc3ZDRkZmUyNGY4YjAyZjc=

[woolldog]

1. That's very possible.

We just don't know.

[jenmito]

2. I REALLY doubt it with the enthusiasm gap alive and well. n/t

[FreeState]

3. Which would mean he would need 60%+ of all independents to win

Not going to happen...

[jenmito]

4. Good point!

No way will it happen! :hi: