Morning Call Muhlenberg 10/31 Pennsylvania: Obama 53 (-1) McCain 43 (+2)

[SuperTrouper]

Today's tracking poll in PA shows Barack Obama holding a 10-point lead over John McCain. The election is 96 hours away and McCain is running out of time in Pennsylvania.


http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/all-pres-widget,0,1597322.teaser?s=l

[Bicoastal]

1. Ugh--even a ten point lead seems too close.

[scheming daemons]

4. When you consider Kerry was up between 1 and 4 at this time in '04, it is not close

Obama's "53" is a VERY healthy number.

[Bicoastal]

6. Yeah, I guess you're right.

[underpants]

2. 10 points with 4 undecided

That is a good position to be in.

[scheming daemons]

3. I don't care what McCain's number is, as long as Obama's is 51+....

In PA, I actually think most "undecideds" are closet McCain supporters. If Obama stays at 51 or more, we're fine.


I think PA will go this way:

Obama 52
McCain 45
Barr 2
Other 1


And I'm fine with that.

[Smuckies]

5. Looks like PA is going to be closer than we thought.

I believe it when people say it's closer than we thought.

Hopefully, if Obama can maintain this 10 pt lead, we can take PA.

[scheming daemons]

8. Closer than we thought? 10 points is a HUGE win in PA......

Hell.... 5 or 6 points is huge in PA.


Remember... Kerry won by less than 3..... and he owns a house in Pittsburgh (his wife is heiress to the Heinz fortune).

[Alhena]

7. I'm not the least bit concerned about PA- Kerry won it and we've registered a lot more Dems

since 2004. There are 1.2 million more Dems than Reps in Pennsylvania. There will be unprecedented black turnout, and there is a Democratic governor and secretary of state to count the votes.

[SuperTrouper]

9. Excellent point!

[nickn777]

10. This is a FIVE day tracker...

McCain moving up 2 points in one day means yesterdays sample must have been VERY good for him...but, on the plus side, Obama's change is not significant.

[WI_DEM]

11. Yes, O only went from 54 to 53, so that is the key number.

M probably made his gains mostly among undecideds.

[SuperTrouper]

12. Yes, to move up 2 points means that McCain probably was within 2-3 from Obama yesterday

we'll see tomorrow.