Early voting passes 20 Million --Encouraging numbers in FL NC NV NM but NC numbers stunning

[grantcart]

With 60% of 2004 vote Dems maintaining 23 point advantage

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

. . . .2008 . . . 2004

Dem . 52.6% . . 48.6%
Rep . 29.6% . . 37.4%
None .17.8% . . 14.1%


White. 69.3%
Black. 26.6% (State population estimated 22%)
Other. 4.0%

One-Stop 91.8%




These numbers point to a huge turnout in North Carolina.

It didn't seem possible that the huge advantage in early voting would be maintained but the large lead established early in NC has remained consistent. The Obama GOTV operation in NC seems to be on high overdrive.

It is interesting that the McCain campaign doesn't seem to be going back to North Carolina -- has the early voting lead made it too tough for McCain to put any more resources in NC. There is also some reporting indicating that McCain is giving up his GOTV operation. http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=7677468&mesg_id=7680654


Colorado also has reached 60% of its 2004 votes but the vote by party is evenly divided but with a large 24% no party stated

Florida has 3.3 million or 44% of the 2004 vote. The interesting trend here is that it started out exactly even and every day the Dem turnout has increased and the advantage over Republicans is now 7.6%

Georgia is showing 47% of the 2004 vote with no party identification but the AA vote at 35% contiues to outperform its state percentage 30%.

Nevada is showing 53% of the 2004 vote and Democrats continue to post a 20+% statewide view.

[Kukesa]

1. K & R! n/t

[grantcart]

2. tks

[kick-ass-bob]

3. Overdrive is not even the word.

'04 had ZERO activity compared to this year.

MoveOn keeps hammering the emails and calls out to people to volunteer between now and Tuesday. My wife and I are on the lists for about 30 hours worth of time before it's said and done.

[grantcart]

4. thank you

thank you, thank you, thank you.


what is happening in North Carolina is as heroic as anything since Lexington and Concord.


Behind these numbers is a great great story. North Carolina's one stop registration and vote is going to break John McCain's electoral college back before the first vote is cast on November 4th. 1.8 million already voting in person in a state south of the mason dixon line.

It is simply a privledge to watch what is happening in NC at a distance.

[Mudoria]

10. As as "oddball" factoid, Lexington and Concord are

separated by about 30-35 miles on I-85 in North Carolina :). I wonder how many other states in the US have Lexington and Concord as town/city names in the same state?

[Aloha Spirit]

13. "..since Lexington and Concord" Did not think of it that way. I like it!

But the voter surge might be related to this

http://www.raleigh3.com/default.asp?sourceid=&smenu=1&twindow=&mad=&sdetail=1548&wpage=1&skeyword=&sidate=&ccat=&ccatm=&restate=&restatus=&reoption=&retype=&repmin=&repmax=&rebed=&rebath=&subname=&pform=&sc=2724&hn=raleigh3&he=.com

check end of article for clever rallying cry.

[knowledgeispwr]

5. K & R - NC is going blue this year!

I think McCain will be in too much of a hole on election day to make it up.

[mmonk]

6. Obama has always held the best ground game in NC,

even through the primaries which is why polling underestimated his strength down the stretch.

[grantcart]

9. there are going to be a whole lot of surprised people next week

[applexcore]

7. Over 1/3 of my county in NC had already voted by Monday

And my county as a HUGE AA population. Like the inner city school is all black type of huge.

[grantcart]

8. great

[woolldog]

14. Doesn't seem like AA turnout is up that much.

According to grantacart's numbers 26% of early voters have been AA. That's about the number of AA voters who voted in NC in 2004. Assuming Obama wins all the AA voters, he'll have to win about 33% of the white vote to win NC. Is that doable? I don't know.

[DainBramaged]

11. We got this

[Psyop Samurai]

12. Truly impressive.

:kick:

[FUCK_BUSH]

15. FL : 3,360,088 !!! Follow all the early voting here :

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

[babylonsister]

16. Amazing. Tuesday will be sweet, I can just feel it! nt

[Seen the light]

17. Senator Obama will have his next-to-last campaign event of the year in NC on Mon

In Charlotte.