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Poll predicts Obama win in CA to be largest in election history -- 55-33

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nichomachus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 10:13 AM
Original message
Poll predicts Obama win in CA to be largest in election history -- 55-33
GOP could face electoral bloodbath in CA

Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama is poised to win California by the biggest landslide in the history of modern elections - outweighing even Ronald Reagan's huge wins in his home state - thanks to a crushing margin of support from young voters, independents and Latinos, a new Field Poll shows.

Obama and his vice presidential running mate, Sen. Joe Biden, now lead Republican presidential candidate John McCain and Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin by a whopping 55-33 percent in the nation's most populous state, according to the Field Poll of 966 likely voters conducted Oct. 18-28.

Mark DiCamillo, director of the Field Poll, said that Obama's huge lead underscores the Democrat's solid success in appealing to voter groups that are emerging as the fastest-growing and potentially most influential electorates in the nation.

The Illinois senator is leading McCain in every area of the state, among every age group except voters over 65, and holds leads in every demographic and income group, as well as among both men and women, the poll shows.

"He really is doing very well among the new emerging voters in California, in the largest areas where the voting population is growing fastest - the Latino vote, the youth vote and the nonpartisan vote," DiCamillo said. "These are groups that will have a huge amount of influence down the road."

With just five days until the November 2008 election, the latest Field Poll also underscores the potential impact of the coming election on congressional races. Asked their preferences for the U.S. House of Representatives in their district, 50 percent said they are inclined to vote for Democrats, while just 29 percent expressed a preference for Republicans in those seats, the poll showed.


Let's just hope the coat tails extend to Prop Hate.
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unhappycamper30 Donating Member (90 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 10:15 AM
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1. Wow! I hope that trickles down to "No" on Prop 8.
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nichomachus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 10:15 AM
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2. You and me both
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nichomachus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 10:16 AM
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3. Here's a chart
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Mz Pip Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 10:18 AM
Response to Original message
4. I love my state
:loveya:

Prop 8 seems to get more attention aroung here that presidential politics. If those numbers for Obama hold true then I hope the coat tails exend to defeat Prop h8. It's running close right now and the pro Prop h8 people have lots of money to spend on ads claiming elementary schools will be forced to teach the 'homosexual agenda.' Whatever that is.
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Downtown Hound Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 10:23 AM
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5. We'll pad the popular vote and give you 55 EV's fellow DU'ers
The rest is up to you. Give 'em hell.
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David__77 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 10:41 AM
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6. I predict 58-38.
I think a twenty point lead would be simply amazing. We do produce such margins for Democrats statewide in landslide situations for governor and senator, etc. I, too, hope this trickles down to proposition 8.
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