Ambinder citing LV Sun's Ralston: Gop faces "impossible task" in Nevada

[featherman]

"No one's following the early vote numbers in Nevada more closely than Jon Ralston. One of the reasons I've decided that Nevada leans to Obama is this:

In the urban counties, which represents about 85 percent of the vote, the Democrats could well have close to a 100,000-voter lead over the GOP by the close of early voting Friday. Unless the independents (16 percent in turnout so far) are overwhelmingly going for John McCain, which seems unlikely, Barack Obama has a chance to win Clark and Washoe by enough votes to win the state, unless the GOP Election Day turnout so overwhelms the Ds as to make up the difference -- an almost impossible task."

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/10/the_daily_ralston_gop_faces_al.php