1992-2008 Electoral Vote Maps

[radfringe]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/#data

1992-2008 Electoral Vote Maps



my theory as to why mccain is pushing hard in PA is because PA doesn't have EARLY VOTING, and it's a big Electoral Vote state

[radfringe]

1. OBAMA on OFFENSE mccain on defense

Obama-Biden campaign Schedule:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032553

10/29 - Toss-ups according to MSNBC
Kissimee, Fl
Sunrise, Fl
Raleigh, NC

10/30 - Toss-ups according to MSNBC
Columbia, MO

mccain-palin campaign schedule
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032553
no events listed on MSNBC map

event listing from mccain website:
10/29: Toss-up States
Miami FL
Bowling Green OH
Chillcothe OH
Jeffersonville IN

Poll averages for these states: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/#data

Florida: Obama 48.4 mccain: 45.1
North Carolina: Obama 48.6 mccain: 47.1
Ohio: Obama 49.8 mccain 43.4
Indiana: Obama 47.4 mccain 46.0
Missouri: Obama 47.4 mccain 46.8

These were all BUSH states in 2000 and 2004

[mohc]

2. Pennsylvania

McCain could not afford to push on both an eastern and western strategy, so he had to pick one. A western strategy just would not work electorally. Even if McCain secured Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico he would lose if he did not make progress back east. Obama's lead in Virginia was probably unexpected by the McCain campaign, and even if McCain came back in Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio he could still trail Obama. Coming back east and abandoning the three western states would allow him to concentrate on Ohio and Virginia. But even then he would trail Obama and he would need to find his best chance at flipping a state. Pennsylvania is that state. Geographically it lies fairly close to the cluster of states hes fighting for: Ohio, Virginia, and North Carolina. The lack of early voting meant they could try and ignore Obama's current lead and hope that things shifted by election day. And the attacks that would work in Pennsylvania fit better with his national campaign. Trying to use race as a wedge issue plays better in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia, and North Carolina than it does out west. McCain has no margin for error with this strategy, abandoning the west gives Obama a base of 257 electoral votes with 5 states of 13 electoral votes or more to give him a victory. Currently McCain trails in all 5 of those states, and having to win them all will not be able to shift resources around to just concentrate on one or a few. Obama on the other hand has the freedom to wait and see where things shift and if state polls were to tighten up, he would be able to concentrate on his best state and still win.